اشترك بالحزمة الذهبية واحصل على وصول غير محدود شمرا أكاديميا
تسجيل مستخدم جديدRisk-Monotonicity in Statistical Learning
138
0
0.0
(
0
)
اسأل ChatGPT حول البحث
ﻻ يوجد ملخص باللغة العربية
Acquisition of data is a difficult task in many applications of machine learning, and it is only natural that one hopes and expects the populating risk to decrease (better performance) monotonically with increasing data points. It turns out, somewhat surprisingly, that this is not the case even for the most standard algorithms such as empirical risk minimization. Non-monotonic behaviour of the risk and instability in training have manifested and appeared in the popular deep learning paradigm under the description of double descent. These problems highlight bewilderment in our understanding of learning algorithms and generalization. It is, therefore, crucial to pursue this concern and provide a characterization of such behaviour. In this paper, we derive the first consistent and risk-monotonic algorithms for a general statistical learning setting under weak assumptions, consequently resolving an open problem (Viering et al. 2019) on how to avoid non-monotonic behaviour of risk curves. Our work makes a significant contribution to the topic of risk-monotonicity, which may be key in resolving empirical phenomena such as double descent.
قيم البحث
اقرأ أيضاً
Semi-supervised learning (SSL) uses unlabeled data for training and has been shown to greatly improve performance when compared to a supervised approach on the labeled data available. This claim depends both on the amount of labeled data available an
d on the algorithm used. In this paper, we compute analytically the gap between the best fully-supervised approach using only labeled data and the best semi-supervised approach using both labeled and unlabeled data. We quantify the best possible increase in performance obtained thanks to the unlabeled data, i.e. we compute the accuracy increase due to the information contained in the unlabeled data. Our work deals with a simple high-dimensional Gaussian mixture model for the data in a Bayesian setting. Our rigorous analysis builds on recent theoretical breakthroughs in high-dimensional inference and a large body of mathematical tools from statistical physics initially developed for spin glasses.
We consider a general statistical estimation problem wherein binary labels across different observations are not independent conditioned on their feature vectors, but dependent, capturing settings where e.g. these observations are collected on a spat
ial domain, a temporal domain, or a social network, which induce dependencies. We model these dependencies in the language of Markov Random Fields and, importantly, allow these dependencies to be substantial, i.e do not assume that the Markov Random Field capturing these dependencies is in high temperature. As our main contribution we provide algorithms and statistically efficient estimation rates for this model, giving several instantiations of our bounds in logistic regression, sparse logistic regression, and neural network settings with dependent data. Our estimation guarantees follow from novel results for estimating the parameters (i.e. external fields and interaction strengths) of Ising models from a {em single} sample. {We evaluate our estimation approach on real networked data, showing that it outperforms standard regression approaches that ignore dependencies, across three text classification datasets: Cora, Citeseer and Pubmed.}
This paper presents the first general (supervised) statistical learning framework for point processes in general spaces. Our approach is based on the combination of two new concepts, which we define in the paper: i) bivariate innovations, which are m
easures of discrepancy/prediction-accuracy between two point processes, and ii) point process cross-validation (CV), which we here define through point process thinning. The general idea is to carry out the fitting by predicting CV-generated validation sets using the corresponding training sets; the prediction error, which we minimise, is measured by means of bivariate innovations. Having established various theoretical properties of our bivariate innovations, we study in detail the case where the CV procedure is obtained through independent thinning and we apply our statistical learning methodology to three typical spatial statistical settings, namely parametric intensity estimation, non-parametric intensity estimation and Papangelou conditional intensity fitting. Aside from deriving theoretical properties related to these cases, in each of them we numerically show that our statistical learning approach outperforms the state of the art in terms of mean (integrated) squared error.
In this work, we consider the sample complexity required for testing the monotonicity of distributions over partial orders. A distribution $p$ over a poset is monotone if, for any pair of domain elements $x$ and $y$ such that $x preceq y$, $p(x) leq
p(y)$. To understand the sample complexity of this problem, we introduce a new property called bigness over a finite domain, where the distribution is $T$-big if the minimum probability for any domain element is at least $T$. We establish a lower bound of $Omega(n/log n)$ for testing bigness of distributions on domains of size $n$. We then build on these lower bounds to give $Omega(n/log{n})$ lower bounds for testing monotonicity over a matching poset of size $n$ and significantly improved lower bounds over the hypercube poset. We give sublinear sample complexity bounds for testing bigness and for testing monotonicity over the matching poset. We then give a number of tools for analyzing upper bounds on the sample complexity of the monotonicity testing problem.
Reinforcement learning agents are faced with two types of uncertainty. Epistemic uncertainty stems from limited data and is useful for exploration, whereas aleatoric uncertainty arises from stochastic environments and must be accounted for in risk-se
nsitive applications. We highlight the challenges involved in simultaneously estimating both of them, and propose a framework for disentangling and estimating these uncertainties on learned Q-values. We derive unbiased estimators of these uncertainties and introduce an uncertainty-aware DQN algorithm, which we show exhibits safe learning behavior and outperforms other DQN variants on the MinAtar testbed.
الأسئلة المقترحة
سجل دخول لتتمكن من نشر تعليقات
التعليقات
جاري جلب التعليقات
سجل دخول لتتمكن من متابعة معايير البحث التي قمت باختيارها
