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Predicting the future motion of vehicles has been studied using various techniques, including stochastic policies, generative models, and regression. Recent work has shown that classification over a trajectory set, which approximates possible motions, achieves state-of-the-art performance and avoids issues like mode collapse. However, map information and the physical relationships between nearby trajectories is not fully exploited in this formulation. We build on classification-based approaches to motion prediction by adding an auxiliary loss that penalizes off-road predictions. This auxiliary loss can easily be pretrained using only map information (e.g., off-road area), which significantly improves performance on small datasets. We also investigate weighted cross-entropy losses to capture spatial-temporal relationships among trajectories. Our final contribution is a detailed comparison of classification and ordinal regression on two public self-driving datasets.
We address one of the crucial aspects necessary for safe and efficient operations of autonomous vehicles, namely predicting future state of traffic actors in the autonomous vehicles surroundings. We introduce a deep learning-based approach that takes
We present CoverNet, a new method for multimodal, probabilistic trajectory prediction for urban driving. Previous work has employed a variety of methods, including multimodal regression, occupancy maps, and 1-step stochastic policies. We instead fram
Naturalistic driving trajectories are crucial for the performance of autonomous driving algorithms. However, most of the data is collected in safe scenarios leading to the duplication of trajectories which are easy to be handled by currently develope
Predicting human behavior is a difficult and crucial task required for motion planning. It is challenging in large part due to the highly uncertain and multi-modal set of possible outcomes in real-world domains such as autonomous driving. Beyond sing
Behavior prediction of traffic actors is an essential component of any real-world self-driving system. Actors long-term behaviors tend to be governed by their interactions with other actors or traffic elements (traffic lights, stop signs) in the scen