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Competition and collaboration are at the heart of multi-agent probabilistic spreading processes. The battle on public opinion and competitive marketing campaigns are typical examples of the former, while the joint spread of multiple diseases such as HIV and tuberculosis demonstrates the latter. These spreads are influenced by the underlying network topology, the infection rates between network constituents, recovery rates and, equally importantly, the interactions between the spreading processes themselves. Here, for the first time we derive dynamic message-passing equations that provide an exact description of the dynamics of two interacting spreading processes on tree graphs, and develop systematic low-complexity models that predict the spread on general graphs. We also develop a theoretical framework for an optimal control of interacting spreading processes through an optimized resource allocation under budget constraints and within a finite time window. Derived algorithms can be used to maximize the desired spread in the presence of a rival competitive process, and to limit the spread through vaccination in the case of coupled infectious diseases. We demonstrate the efficacy of the framework and optimization method on both synthetic and real-world networks.
Spreading processes have been largely studied in the literature, both analytically and by means of large-scale numerical simulations. These processes mainly include the propagation of diseases, rumors and information on top of a given population. In
A general formalism is introduced to allow the steady state of non-Markovian processes on networks to be reduced to equivalent Markovian processes on the same substrates. The example of an epidemic spreading process is considered in detail, where all
Recently, we introduced a quantity, node weight, to describe the collaboration sharing or competition gain of the elements in the collaboration-competition networks, which can be well described by bipartite graphs. We find that the node weight distri
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A model for epidemic spreading on rewiring networks is introduced and analyzed for the case of scale free steady state networks. It is found that contrary to what one would have naively expected, the rewiring process typically tends to suppress epide