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We conjecture a formula for the refined $mathrm{SU}(3)$ Vafa-Witten invariants of any smooth surface $S$ satisfying $H_1(S,mathbb{Z}) = 0$ and $p_g(S)>0$. The unrefined formula corrects a proposal by Labastida-Lozano and involves unexpected algebraic expressions in modular functions. We prove that our formula satisfies a refined $S$-duality modularity transformation. We provide evidence for our formula by calculating virtual $chi_y$-genera of moduli spaces of rank 3 stable sheaves on $S$ in examples using Mochizukis formula. Further evidence is based on the recent definition of refined $mathrm{SU}(r)$ Vafa-Witten invariants by Maulik-Thomas and subsequent calculations on nested Hilbert schemes by Thomas (rank 2) and Laarakker (rank 3).
In [MT2] the Vafa-Witten theory of complex projective surfaces is lifted to oriented $mathbb C^*$-equivariant cohomology theories. Here we study the K-theoretic refinement. It gives rational functions in $t^{1/2}$ invariant under $t^{1/2}leftrightarr
We propose a definition of Vafa-Witten invariants counting semistable Higgs pairs on a polarised surface. We use virtual localisation applied to Mochizuki/Joyce-Song pairs. For $K_Sle0$ we expect our definition coincides with an alternative definit
The $mathrm{SU}(r)$ Vafa-Witten partition function, which virtually counts Higgs pairs on a projective surface $S$, was mathematically defined by Tanaka-Thomas. On the Langlands dual side, the first-named author recently introduced virtual counts of
This article provides a summary of arXiv:1701.08899 and arXiv:1701.08902 where the authors studied the enumerative geometry of nested Hilbert schemes of points and curves on algebraic surfaces and their connections to threefold theories, and in parti
The moduli space of stable pairs on a local surface $X=K_S$ is in general non-compact. The action of $mathbb{C}^*$ on the fibres of $X$ induces an action on the moduli space and the stable pair invariants of $X$ are defined by the virtual localizatio