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An accurate understanding of the interplay between random and deterministic processes in generating extreme events is of critical importance in many fields, from forecasting extreme meteorological events to the catastrophic failure of materials and in the Earth. Here we investigate the statistics of record-breaking events in the time series of crackling noise generated by local rupture events during the compressive failure of porous materials. The events are generated by computer simulations of the uni-axial compression of cylindrical samples in a discrete element model of sedimentary rocks that closely resemble those of real experiments. The number of records grows initially as a decelerating power law of the number of events, followed by an acceleration immediately prior to failure. We demonstrate the existence of a characteristic record rank k^* which separates the two regimes of the time evolution. Up to this rank deceleration occurs due to the effect of random disorder. Record breaking then accelerates towards macroscopic failure, when physical interactions leading to spatial and temporal correlations dominate the location and timing of local ruptures. Sub-sequences of bursts between consecutive records are characterized by a power law size distribution with an exponent which decreases as failure is approached. High rank records are preceded by bursts of increasing size and waiting time between consecutive events and they are followed by a relaxation process. As a reference, surrogate time series are generated by reshuffling the crackling bursts. The record statistics of the uncorrelated surrogates agrees very well with the corresponding predictions of independent identically distributed random variables, which confirms that the temporal and spatial correlation of cracking bursts are responsible for the observed unique behaviour.
Forecasting the imminent catastrophic failure has a high importance for a large variety of systems from the collapse of engineering constructions, through the emergence of landslides and earthquakes, to volcanic eruptions. Failure forecast methods pr
We investigate the approach to catastrophic failure in a model porous granular material undergoing uniaxial compression. A discrete element computational model is used to simulate both the micro-structure of the material and the complex dynamics and
We investigate the scaling properties of the sources of crackling noise in a fully-dynamic numerical model of sedimentary rocks subject to uniaxial compression. The model is initiated by filling a cylindrical container with randomly-sized spherical p
Creep is a time-dependent deformation of solids at relatively low stresses, leading to the breakdown with time. Here we propose a simple model for creep failure of disordered solids, in which temperature and stress are controllable. Despite its simpl
In this paper, we study the effects of both the amount of open cell walls and their aperture sizes on solid foams permeability. FEM flow simulations are performed at both pore and macroscopic scales. For foams with fully interconnected pores, we obta