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109 - Karine Bertin 2013
In this paper we consider the problem of estimating $f$, the conditional density of $Y$ given $X$, by using an independent sample distributed as $(X,Y)$ in the multivariate setting. We consider the estimation of $f(x,.)$ where $x$ is a fixed point. W e define two different procedures of estimation, the first one using kernel rules, the second one inspired from projection methods. Both adapted estimators are tuned by using the Goldenshluger and Lepski methodology. After deriving lower bounds, we show that these procedures satisfy oracle inequalities and are optimal from the minimax point of view on anisotropic H{o}lder balls. Furthermore, our results allow us to measure precisely the influence of $mathrm{f}_X(x)$ on rates of convergence, where $mathrm{f}_X$ is the density of $X$. Finally, some simulations illustrate the good behavior of our tuned estimates in practice.
In this paper, we study the asymptotic posterior distribution of linear functionals of the density. In particular, we give general conditions to obtain a semiparametric version of the Bernstein-Von Mises theorem. We then apply this general result to nonparametric priors based on infinite dimensional exponential families. As a byproduct, we also derive adaptive nonparametric rates of concentration of the posterior distributions under these families of priors on the class of Sobolev and Besov spaces.
In this paper, we deal with the problem of calibrating thresholding rules in the setting of Poisson intensity estimation. By using sharp concentration inequalities, oracle inequalities are derived and we establish the optimality of our estimate up to a logarithmic term. This result is proved under mild assumptions and we do not impose any condition on the support of the signal to be estimated. Our procedure is based on data-driven thresholds. As usual, they depend on a threshold parameter $gamma$ whose optimal value is hard to estimate from the data. Our main concern is to provide some theoretical and numerical results to handle this issue. In particular, we establish the existence of a minimal threshold parameter from the theoretical point of view: taking $gamma<1$ deteriorates oracle performances of our procedure. In the same spirit, we establish the existence of a maximal threshold parameter and our theoretical results point out the optimal range $gammain[1,12]$. Then, we lead a numerical study that shows that choosing $gamma$ larger than 1 but close to 1 is a fairly good choice. Finally, we compare our procedure with classical ones revealing the harmful role of the support of functions when estimated by classical procedures.
The purpose of this paper is to estimate the intensity of a Poisson process $N$ by using thresholding rules. In this paper, the intensity, defined as the derivative of the mean measure of $N$ with respect to $ndx$ where $n$ is a fixed parameter, is a ssumed to be non-compactly supported. The estimator $tilde{f}_{n,gamma}$ based on random thresholds is proved to achieve the same performance as the oracle estimator up to a possible logarithmic term. Then, minimax properties of $tilde{f}_{n,gamma}$ on Besov spaces ${cal B}^{ensuremath alpha}_{p,q}$ are established. Under mild assumptions, we prove that $$sup_{fin B^{ensuremath alpha}_{p,q}cap ensuremath mathbb {L}_{infty}} ensuremath mathbb {E}(ensuremath | | tilde{f}_{n,gamma}-f| |_2^2)leq C(frac{log n}{n})^{frac{ensuremath alpha}{ensuremath alpha+{1/2}+({1/2}-frac{1}{p})_+}}$$ and the lower bound of the minimax risk for ${cal B}^{ensuremath alpha}_{p,q}cap ensuremath mathbb {L}_{infty}$ coincides with the previous upper bound up to the logarithmic term. This new result has two consequences. First, it establishes that the minimax rate of Besov spaces ${cal B}^{ensuremath alpha}_{p,q}$ with $pleq 2$ when non compactly supported functions are considered is the same as for compactly supported functions up to a logarithmic term. When $p>2$, the rate exponent, which depends on $p$, deteriorates when $p$ increases, which means that the support plays a harmful role in this case. Furthermore, $tilde{f}_{n,gamma}$ is adaptive minimax up to a logarithmic term.
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