A uniform analysis of HD209458b Spitzer/IRAC lightcurves with Gaussian process models

We present an analysis of Spitzer/IRAC primary transit and secondary eclipse lightcurves measured for HD209458b, using Gaussian process models to marginalise over the intrapixel sensitivity variations in the 3.6 micron and 4.5 micron channels and the ramp effect in the 5.8 micron and 8.0 micron channels. The main advantage of this approach is that we can account for a broad range of degeneracies between the planet signal and systematics without actually having to specify a deterministic functional form for the latter. Our results do not confirm a previous claim of water absorption in transmission. Instead, our results are more consistent with a featureless transmission spectrum, possibly due to a cloud deck obscuring molecular absorption bands. For the emission data, our values are not consistent with the thermal inversion in the dayside atmosphere that was originally inferred from these data. Instead, we agree with another re-analysis of these same data, which concluded a non-inverted atmosphere provides a better fit. We find that a solar-abundance clear-atmosphere model without a thermal inversion underpredicts the measured emission in the 4.5 micron channel, which may suggest the atmosphere is depleted in carbon monoxide. An acceptable fit to the emission data can be achieved by assuming that the planet radiates as an isothermal blackbody with a temperature of $1484pm 18$ K.

The UVES Large Program for testing fundamental physics - III. Constraints on the fine-structure constant from 3 telescopes

Large statistical samples of quasar spectra have previously indicated possible cosmological variations in the fine-structure constant, $alpha$. A smaller sample of higher signal-to-noise ratio spectra, with dedicated calibration, would allow a detailed test of this evidence. Towards that end, we observed equatorial quasar HS 1549$+$1919 with three telescopes: the Very Large Telescope, Keck and, for the first time in such analyses, Subaru. By directly comparing these spectra to each other, and by `supercalibrating them using asteroid and iodine-cell tests, we detected and removed long-range distortions of the quasar spectras wavelength scales which would have caused significant systematic errors in our $alpha$ measurements. For each telescope we measure the relative deviation in $alpha$ from the current laboratory value, $Deltaalpha/alpha$, in 3 absorption systems at redshifts $z_{mathrm{abs}}=1.143$, 1.342, and 1.802. The nine measurements of $Deltaalpha/alpha$ are all consistent with zero at the 2-$sigma$ level, with 1-$sigma$ statistical (systematic) uncertainties 5.6--24 (1.8--7.0) parts per million (ppm). They are also consistent with each other at the 1-$sigma$ level, allowing us to form a combined value for each telescope and, finally, a single value for this line of sight: $Deltaalpha/alpha=-5.4 pm 3.3_{mathrm{stat}} pm 1.5_{mathrm{sys}}$ ppm, consistent with both zero and previous, large samples. We also average all Large Programme results measuring $Deltaalpha/alpha=-0.6 pm 1.9_{mathrm{stat}} pm 0.9_{mathrm{sys}}$ ppm. Our results demonstrate the robustness and reliability at the 3 ppm level afforded by supercalibration techniques and direct comparison of spectra from different telescopes.

Forecasting a Coronal Mass Ejections Altered Trajectory: ForeCAT

To predict whether a coronal mass ejection (CME) will impact Earth, the effects of the background on the CMEs trajectory must be taken into account. We develop a model, ForeCAT (Forecasting a CMEs Altered Trajectory), of CME deflection due to magnetic forces. ForeCAT includes CME expansion, a three-part propagation model, and the effects of drag on the CMEs deflection. Given the background solar wind conditions, the launch site of the CME, and the properties of the CME (mass, final propagation speed, initial radius, and initial magnetic strength), ForeCAT predicts the deflection of the CME. Two different magnetic backgrounds are considered: a scaled background based on type II radio burst profiles and a Potential Field Source Surface (PFSS) background. For a scaled background where the CME is launched from an active region located between a CH and streamer region the strong magnetic gradients cause a deflection of 8.1 degrees in latitude and 26.4 degrees in longitude for a 1e15 g CME propagating out to 1 AU. Using the PFSS background, which captures the variation of the streamer belt position with height, leads to a deflection of 1.6 degrees in latitude and 4.1 degrees in longitude for the control case. Varying the CMEs input parameters within observed ranges leads to the majority of CMEs reaching the streamer belt within the first few solar radii. For these specific backgrounds, the streamer belt acts like a potential well that forces the CME into an equilibrium angular position.

An a priori investigation of astrophysical false positives in ground-based transiting planet surveys

Astrophysical false positives due to stellar eclipsing binaries pose one of the greatest challenges to ground-based surveys for transiting Hot Jupiters. We have used known properties of multiple star systems and Hot Jupiter systems to predict, a priori, the number of such false detections and the number of genuine planet detections recovered in two hypothetical but realistic ground-based transit surveys targeting fields close to the galactic plane (b~10 degrees): a shallow survey covering a magnitude range 10<V<13, and a deep survey covering a magnitude range 15<V<19. Our results are consistent with the commonly-reported experience of false detections outnumbering planet detections by a factor of ~10 in shallow surveys, while in our synthetic deep survey we find ~1-2 false detections for every planet detection. We characterize the eclipsing binary configurations that are most likely to cause false detections and find that they can be divided into three main types: (i) two dwarfs undergoing grazing transits, (ii) two dwarfs undergoing low-latitude transits in which one component has a substantially smaller radius than the other, and (iii) two eclipsing dwarfs blended with one or more physically unassociated foreground stars. We also predict that a significant fraction of Hot Jupiter detections are blended with the light from other stars, showing that care must be taken to identify the presence of any unresolved neighbors in order to obtain accurate estimates of planetary radii. This issue is likely to extend to terrestrial planet candidates in the CoRoT and Kepler transit surveys, for which neighbors of much fainter relative brightness will be important.

Thermo-optic noise in coated mirrors for high-precision optical measurements

Thermal fluctuations in the coatings used to make high-reflectors are becoming significant noise sources in precision optical measurements and are particularly relevant to advanced gravitational wave detectors. There are two recognized sources of coating thermal noise, mechanical loss and thermal dissipation. Thermal dissipation causes thermal fluctuations in the coating which produce noise via the thermo-elastic and thermo-refractive mechanisms. We treat these mechanisms coherently, give a correction for finite coating thickness, and evaluate the implications for Advanced LIGO.