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In this paper, we consider a dynamic asset pricing model in an approximate fractional economy to address empirical regularities related to both investor protection and past information. Our newly developed model features not only in terms with a cont rolling shareholder who diverts a fraction of the output, but also good (or bad) memory in his budget dynamics which can be well-calibrated by a pathwise way from the historical data. We find that poorer investor protection leads to higher stock holdings of controlling holders, lower gross stock returns, lower interest rates, and lower modified stock volatilities if the ownership concentration is sufficiently high. More importantly, by establishing an approximation scheme for good (bad) memory of investors on the historical market information, we conclude that good (bad) memory would increase (decrease) aforementioned dynamics and reveal that good (bad) memory strengthens (weakens) investor protection for minority shareholder when the ownership concentration is sufficiently high, while good (bad) memory inversely weakens (strengthens) investor protection for minority shareholder when the ownership concentration is sufficiently low. Our models implications are consistent with a number of interesting facts documented in the recent literature.
Cognitive and metacognitive strategy had demonstrated a significant role in self-regulated learning (SRL), and an appropriate use of strategies is beneficial to effective learning or question-solving tasks during a human-computer interaction process. This paper proposes a novel method combining Knowledge Map (KM) based data mining technique with Thinking Map (TM) to detect learners cognitive and metacognitive strategy in the question-solving scenario. In particular, a graph-based mining algorithm is designed to facilitate our proposed method, which can automatically map cognitive strategy to metacognitive strategy with raising abstraction level, and make the cognitive and metacognitive process viewable, which acts like a reverse engineering engine to explain how a learner thinks when solving a question. Additionally, we develop an online learning environment system for participants to learn and record their behaviors. To corroborate the effectiveness of our approach and algorithm, we conduct experiments recruiting 173 postgraduate and undergraduate students, and they were asked to complete a question-solving task, such as What are similarities and differences between array and pointer? from The C Programming Language course and What are similarities and differences between packet switching and circuit switching? from Computer Network Principle course. The mined strategies patterns results are encouraging and supported well our proposed method.
64 - Feng Tian , Jia Yue , Xing Wan 2018
Despite recent advances in MOOC, the current e-learning systems have advantages of alleviating barriers by time differences, and geographically spatial separation between teachers and students. However, there has been a lack of supervision problem th at e-learners learning unit state(LUS) cant be supervised automatically. In this paper, we present a fusion framework considering three channel data sources: 1) videos/images from a camera, 2) eye movement information tracked by a low solution eye tracker and 3) mouse movement. Based on these data modalities, we propose a novel approach of multi-channel data fusion to explore the learning unit state recognition. We also propose a method to build a learning state recognition model to avoid manually labeling image data. The experiments were carried on our designed online learning prototype system, and we choose CART, Random Forest and GBDT regression model to predict e-learners learning state. The results show that multi-channel data fusion model have a better recognition performance in comparison with single channel model. In addition, a best recognition performance can be reached when image, eye movement and mouse movement features are fused.
In this paper, a pricing formula for volatility swaps is delivered when the underlying asset follows the stochastic volatility model with jumps and stochastic intensity. By using Feynman-Kac theorem, a partial integral differential equation is obtain ed to derive the joint moment generating function of the previous model. Moreover, discrete and continuous sampled volatility swap pricing formulas are given by employing transform techniques and the relationship between two pricing formulas is discussed. Finally, some numerical simulations are reported to support the results presented in this paper.
This paper focuses on the pricing of the variance swap in an incomplete market where the stochastic interest rate and the price of the stock are respectively driven by Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model and Heston model with simultaneous L{e}vy jumps. By using the equilibrium framework, we obtain the pricing kernel and the equivalent martingale measure. Moreover, under the forward measure instead of the risk neural measure, we give the closed-form solution for the fair delivery price of the discretely sampled variance swap by employing the joint moment generating function of the underlying processes. Finally, we provide some numerical examples to depict that the values of variance swaps not only depend on the stochastic interest rates but also increase in the presence of jump risks.
136 - Jia Yue , Nan-jing Huang 2016
In this paper, we introduce two new matrix stochastic processes: fractional Wishart processes and $varepsilon$-fractional Wishart processes with integer indices which are based on the fractional Brownian motions and then extend $varepsilon$-fractiona l Wishart processes to the case with non-integer indices. Both of two kinds of processes include classic Wishart processes when the Hurst index $H$ equals $frac{1}{2}$ and present serial correlation of stochastic processes. Applying $varepsilon$-fractional Wishart processes to financial volatility theory, the financial models account for the stochastic volatilities of the assets and for the stochastic correlations not only between the underlying assets returns but also between their volatilities and for stochastic serial correlation of the relevant assets.
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