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Register a new userHedging in Levy Models and the Time Step Equivalent of Jumps
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Publication date
2013
fields
Financial
and research's language is
English
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We consider option hedging in a model where the underlying follows an exponential Levy process. We derive approximations to the variance-optimal and to some suboptimal strategies as well as to their mean squared hedging errors. The results are obtained by considering the Levy model as a perturbation of the Black-Scholes model. The approximations depend on the first four moments of logarithmic stock returns in the Levy model and option price sensitivities (greeks) in the limiting Black-Scholes model. We illustrate numerically that our formulas work well for a variety of Levy models suggested in the literature. From a theoretical point of view, it turns out that jumps have a similar effect on hedging errors as discrete-time hedging in the Black-Scholes model.
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We discuss the difference between locally risk-minimizing and delta hedging strategies for exponential Levy models, where delta hedging strategies in this paper are defined under the minimal martingale measure. We give firstly model-independent upper estimations for the difference. In addition we show numerical examples for two typical exponential Levy models: Merton models and variance gamma models.
We consider a stochastic volatility model with Levy jumps for a log-return process $Z=(Z_{t})_{tgeq 0}$ of the form $Z=U+X$, where $U=(U_{t})_{tgeq 0}$ is a classical stochastic volatility process and $X=(X_{t})_{tgeq 0}$ is an independent Levy process with absolutely continuous Levy measure $ u$. Small-time expansions, of arbitrary polynomial order, in time-$t$, are obtained for the tails $bbp(Z_{t}geq z)$, $z>0$, and for the call-option prices $bbe(e^{z+Z_{t}}-1)_{+}$, $z eq 0$, assuming smoothness conditions on the {PaleGrey density of $ u$} away from the origin and a small-time large deviation principle on $U$. Our approach allows for a unified treatment of general payoff functions of the form $phi(x){bf 1}_{xgeq{}z}$ for smooth functions $phi$ and $z>0$. As a consequence of our tail expansions, the polynomial expansions in $t$ of the transition densities $f_{t}$ are also {Green obtained} under mild conditions.
We continue a series of papers where prices of the barrier options written on the underlying, which dynamics follows some one factor stochastic model with time-dependent coefficients and the barrier, are obtained in semi-closed form, see (Carr and Itkin, 2020, Itkin and Muravey, 2020). This paper extends this methodology to the CIR model for zero-coupon bonds, and to the CEV model for stocks which are used as the corresponding underlying for the barrier options. We describe two approaches. One is generalization of the method of heat potentials for the heat equation to the Bessel process, so we call it the method of Bessel potentials. We also propose a general scheme how to construct the potential method for any linear differential operator with time-independent coefficients. The second one is the method of generalized integral transform, which is also extended to the Bessel process. In all cases, a semi-closed solution means that first, we need to solve numerically a linear Volterra equation of the second kind, and then the option price is represented as a one-dimensional integral. We demonstrate that computationally our method is more efficient than both the backward and forward finite difference methods while providing better accuracy and stability. Also, it is shown that both method dont duplicate but rather compliment each other, as one provides very accurate results at small maturities, and the other one - at high maturities.
This article presents differential equations and solution methods for the functions of the form $Q(x) = F^{-1}(G(x))$, where $F$ and $G$ are cumulative distribution functions. Such functions allow the direct recycling of Monte Carlo samples from one distribution into samples from another. The method may be developed analytically for certain special cases, and illuminate the idea that it is a more precise form of the traditional Cornish-Fisher expansion. In this manner the model risk of distributional risk may be assessed free of the Monte Carlo noise associated with resampling. Examples are given of equations for converting normal samples to Student t, and converting exponential to hyperbolic, variance gamma and normal. In the case of the normal distribution, the change of variables employed allows the sampling to take place to good accuracy based on a single rational approximation over a very wide range of the sample space. The avoidance of any branching statement is of use in optimal GPU computations as it avoids the effect of {it warp divergence}, and we give examples of branch-free normal quantiles that offer performance improvements in a GPU environment, while retaining the best precision characteristics of well-known methods. We also offer models based on a low-probability of warp divergence. Comparisons of new and old forms are made on the Nvidia Quadro 4000, GTX 285 and 480, and Tesla C2050 GPUs. We argue that in single-precision mode, the change-of-variables approach offers performance competitive with the fastest existing scheme while substantially improving precision, and that in double-precision mode, this approach offers the most GPU-optimal Gaussian quantile yet, and without compromise on precision for Monte Carlo applications, working twice as fast as the CUDA 4 library function with increased precision.
Management of systemic risk in financial markets is traditionally associated with setting (higher) capital requirements for market participants. There are indications that while equity ratios have been increased massively since the financial crisis, systemic risk levels might not have lowered, but even increased. It has been shown that systemic risk is to a large extent related to the underlying network topology of financial exposures. A natural question arising is how much systemic risk can be eliminated by optimally rearranging these networks and without increasing capital requirements. Overlapping portfolios with minimized systemic risk which provide the same market functionality as empirical ones have been studied by [pichler2018]. Here we propose a similar method for direct exposure networks, and apply it to cross-sectional interbank loan networks, consisting of 10 quarterly observations of the Austrian interbank market. We show that the suggested framework rearranges the network topology, such that systemic risk is reduced by a factor of approximately 3.5, and leaves the relevant economic features of the optimized network and its agents unchanged. The presented optimization procedure is not intended to actually re-configure interbank markets, but to demonstrate the huge potential for systemic risk management through rearranging exposure networks, in contrast to increasing capital requirements that were shown to have only marginal effects on systemic risk [poledna2017]. Ways to actually incentivize a self-organized formation toward optimal network configurations were introduced in [thurner2013] and [poledna2016]. For regulatory policies concerning financial market stability the knowledge of minimal systemic risk for a given economic environment can serve as a benchmark for monitoring actual systemic risk in markets.
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