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Register a new userA practical guide to pseudo-marginal methods for computational inference in systems biology
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For many stochastic models of interest in systems biology, such as those describing biochemical reaction networks, exact quantification of parameter uncertainty through statistical inference is intractable. Likelihood-free computational inference techniques enable parameter inference when the likelihood function for the model is intractable but the generation of many sample paths is feasible through stochastic simulation of the forward problem. The most common likelihood-free method in systems biology is approximate Bayesian computation that accepts parameters that result in low discrepancy between stochastic simulations and measured data. However, it can be difficult to assess how the accuracy of the resulting inferences are affected by the choice of acceptance threshold and discrepancy function. The pseudo-marginal approach is an alternative likelihood-free inference method that utilises a Monte Carlo estimate of the likelihood function. This approach has several advantages, particularly in the context of noisy, partially observed, time-course data typical in biochemical reaction network studies. Specifically, the pseudo-marginal approach facilitates exact inference and uncertainty quantification, and may be efficiently combined with particle filters for low variance, high-accuracy likelihood estimation. In this review, we provide a practical introduction to the pseudo-marginal approach using inference for biochemical reaction networks as a series of case studies. Implementations of key algorithms and examples are provided using the Julia programming language; a high performance, open source programming language for scientific computing.
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Although reproducibility is a core tenet of the scientific method, it remains challenging to reproduce many results. Surprisingly, this also holds true for computational results in domains such as systems biology where there have been extensive standardization efforts. For example, Tiwari et al. recently found that they could only repeat 50% of published simulation results in systems biology. Toward improving the reproducibility of computational systems research, we identified several resources that investigators can leverage to make their research more accessible, executable, and comprehensible by others. In particular, we identified several domain standards and curation services, as well as powerful approaches pioneered by the software engineering industry that we believe many investigators could adopt. Together, we believe these approaches could substantially enhance the reproducibility of systems biology research. In turn, we believe enhanced reproducibility would accelerate the development of more sophisticated models that could inform precision medicine and synthetic biology.
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