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Low significance of evidence for black hole echoes in gravitational wave data

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 Added by Julian Westerweck
 Publication date 2017
  fields Physics
and research's language is English




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Recent detections of merging black holes allow observational tests of the nature of these objects. In some proposed models, non-trivial structure at or near the black hole horizon could lead to echo signals in gravitational wave data. Recently, Abedi et al. claimed tentative evidence for repeating damped echo signals following the gravitational-wave signals of the binary black hole merger events recorded in the first observational period of the Advanced LIGO interferometers. We reanalyse the same data, addressing some of the shortcomings of their method using more background data and a modified procedure. We find a reduced statistical significance for the claims of evidence for echoes, calculating increased p-values for the null hypothesis of echo-free noise. The reduced significance is entirely consistent with noise, and so we conclude that the analysis of Abedi et al. does not provide any observational evidence for the existence of Planck-scale structure at black hole horizons.

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Recently, Abedi, Dykaar and Afshordi claimed evidence for a repeating damped echo signal following the binary black hole merger gravitational-wave events recorded in the first observational period of the Advanced LIGO interferometers. We discuss the methods of data analysis and significance estimation leading to this claim, and identify several important shortcomings. We conclude that their analysis does not provide significant observational evidence for the existence of Planck-scale structure at black hole horizons, and suggest renewed analysis correcting for these shortcomings.
Accurate extractions of the detected gravitational wave (GW) signal waveforms are essential to validate a detection and to probe the astrophysics behind the sources producing the GWs. This however could be difficult in realistic scenarios where the signals detected by existing GW detectors could be contaminated with non-stationary and non-Gaussian noise. While the performance of existing waveform extraction methods are optimal, they are not fast enough for online application, which is important for multi-messenger astronomy. In this paper, we demonstrate that a deep learning architecture consisting of Convolutional Neural Network and bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory components can be used to extract binary black hole (BBH) GW waveforms from realistic noise in a few milli-seconds. We have tested our network systematically on injected GW signals, with component masses uniformly distributed in the range of 10 to 80 solar masses, on Gaussian noise and LIGO detector noise. We find that our model can extract GW waveforms with overlaps of more than 0.95 with pure Numerical Relativity templates for signals with signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) greater than six, and is also robust against interfering glitches. We then apply our model to all ten detected BBH events from the first (O1) and second (O2) observation runs, obtaining greater than 0.97 overlaps for all ten extracted BBH waveforms with the corresponding pure templates. We discuss the implication of our result and its future applications to GW localization and mass estimation.
We consider a very simple model for gravitational wave echoes from black hole merger ringdowns which may arise from local Lorentz symmetry violations that modify graviton dispersion relations. If the corrections are sufficiently soft so they do not remove the horizon, the reflection of the infalling waves which trigger the echoes is very weak. As an example, we look at the dispersion relation of a test scalar field corrected by roton-like operators depending only on spatial momenta, in Gullstrand-Painleve coordinates. The near-horizon regions of a black hole do become reflective, but only very weakly. The resulting ``bounces of infalling waves can yield repetitive gravity wave emissions but their power is very small. This implies that to see any echoes from black holes we really need an egregious departure from either standard GR or effective field theory, or both. One possibility to realize such strong echoes is the recently proposed classical firewalls which replace black hole horizons with material shells surrounding timelike singularities.
With approximately 50 binary black hole events detected by LIGO/Virgo to date and many more expected in the next few years, gravitational-wave astronomy is shifting from individual-event analyses to population studies. We perform a hierarchical Bayesian analysis on the GWTC-2 catalog by combining several astrophysical formation models with a population of primordial black holes. We compute the Bayesian evidence for a primordial population compared to the null hypothesis, and the inferred fraction of primordial black holes in the data. We find that these quantities depend on the set of assumed astrophysical models: the evidence for primordial black holes against an astrophysical-only multichannel model is decisively favored in some scenarios, but it is significantly reduced in the presence of a dominant stable-mass-transfer isolated formation channel. The primordial channel can explain mergers in the upper mass gap such as GW190521, but (depending on the astrophysical channels we consider) a significant fraction of the events could be of primordial origin even if we neglected GW190521. The tantalizing possibility that LIGO/Virgo may have already detected black holes formed after inflation should be verified by reducing uncertainties in astrophysical and primordial formation models, and it may ultimately be confirmed by third-generation interferometers.
Gravitational-wave astronomy has the potential to substantially advance our knowledge of the cosmos, from the most powerful astrophysical engines to the initial stages of our universe. Gravitational waves also carry information about the nature of black holes. Here we investigate the potential of gravitational-wave detectors to test a proposal by Bekenstein and Mukhanov that the area of black hole horizons is quantized in units of the Planck area. Our results indicate that this quantization could have a potentially observable effect on the classical gravitational wave signals received by detectors. In particular, we find distorted gravitational-wave echoes in the post-merger waveform describing the inspiral and merger of two black holes. These echoes have a specific frequency content that is characteristic of black hole horizon area quantization.
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