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Register a new userQuantifying the evidence for primordial black holes in LIGO/Virgo gravitational-wave data
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Added by
Gabriele Franciolini
Publication date
2021
fields
Physics
and research's language is
English
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With approximately 50 binary black hole events detected by LIGO/Virgo to date and many more expected in the next few years, gravitational-wave astronomy is shifting from individual-event analyses to population studies. We perform a hierarchical Bayesian analysis on the GWTC-2 catalog by combining several astrophysical formation models with a population of primordial black holes. We compute the Bayesian evidence for a primordial population compared to the null hypothesis, and the inferred fraction of primordial black holes in the data. We find that these quantities depend on the set of assumed astrophysical models: the evidence for primordial black holes against an astrophysical-only multichannel model is decisively favored in some scenarios, but it is significantly reduced in the presence of a dominant stable-mass-transfer isolated formation channel. The primordial channel can explain mergers in the upper mass gap such as GW190521, but (depending on the astrophysical channels we consider) a significant fraction of the events could be of primordial origin even if we neglected GW190521. The tantalizing possibility that LIGO/Virgo may have already detected black holes formed after inflation should be verified by reducing uncertainties in astrophysical and primordial formation models, and it may ultimately be confirmed by third-generation interferometers.
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One of the crucial windows for distinguishing astrophysical black holes from primordial black holes is through the redshift evolution of their respective merger rates. The low redshift population of black holes of astrophysical origin is expected to follow the star formation rate. The corresponding peak in their merger rate peaks at a redshift smaller than that of the star formation rate peak ($z_p approx 2$), depending on the time delay between the formation and mergers of black holes. Black holes of primordial origin are going to be present before the formation of the stars, and the merger rate of these sources at high redshift is going to be large. We propose a joint estimation of a hybrid merger rate from the stochastic gravitational wave background, which can use the cosmic history of merger rates to distinguish between the two populations of black holes. Using the latest bounds on the amplitude of the stochastic gravitational wave background amplitude from the third observation run of LIGO/Virgo, we obtain weak constraints at $68%$ C.L. on the primordial black hole merger rate index $2.56_{-1.76}^{+1.64}$ and astrophysical black hole time delay $6.7_{-4.74}^{+4.22}$ Gyr. We should be able to distinguish between the different populations of black holes with the forthcoming O5 and A+ detector sensitivities.
Gravitational waves from a variety of sources are predicted to superpose to create a stochastic background. This background is expected to contain unique information from throughout the history of the universe that is unavailable through standard electromagnetic observations, making its study of fundamental importance to understanding the evolution of the universe. We carry out a search for the stochastic background with the latest data from LIGO and Virgo. Consistent with predictions from most stochastic gravitational-wave background models, the data display no evidence of a stochastic gravitational-wave signal. Assuming a gravitational-wave spectrum of Omega_GW(f)=Omega_alpha*(f/f_ref)^alpha, we place 95% confidence level upper limits on the energy density of the background in each of four frequency bands spanning 41.5-1726 Hz. In the frequency band of 41.5-169.25 Hz for a spectral index of alpha=0, we constrain the energy density of the stochastic background to be Omega_GW(f)<5.6x10^-6. For the 600-1000 Hz band, Omega_GW(f)<0.14*(f/900 Hz)^3, a factor of 2.5 lower than the best previously reported upper limits. We find Omega_GW(f)<1.8x10^-4 using a spectral index of zero for 170-600 Hz and Omega_GW(f)<1.0*(f/1300 Hz)^3 for 1000-1726 Hz, bands in which no previous direct limits have been placed. The limits in these four bands are the lowest direct measurements to date on the stochastic background. We discuss the implications of these results in light of the recent claim by the BICEP2 experiment of the possible evidence for inflationary gravitational waves.
We report a search for gravitational waves from the inspiral, merger and ringdown of binary black holes (BBH) with total mass between 25 and 100 solar masses, in data taken at the LIGO and Virgo observatories between July 7, 2009 and October 20, 2010. The maximum sensitive distance of the detectors over this period for a (20,20) Msun coalescence was 300 Mpc. No gravitational wave signals were found. We thus report upper limits on the astrophysical coalescence rates of BBH as a function of the component masses for non-spinning components, and also evaluate the dependence of the search sensitivity on component spins aligned with the orbital angular momentum. We find an upper limit at 90% confidence on the coalescence rate of BBH with non-spinning components of mass between 19 and 28 Msun of 3.3 times 10^-7 mergers /Mpc^3 /yr.
Recently, the LIGO-Virgo Collaboration (LVC) concluded that there is no evidence for lensed gravitational waves (GW) in the first half of the O3 run, claiming We find the observation of lensed events to be unlikely, with the fractional rate at $mu>2$ being $3.3times 10^{-4}$. While we agree that the chance of an individual GW event being lensed at $mu>2$ is smaller than $10^{-3}$, the number of observed events depends on the product of this small probability times the rate of mergers at high redshift. Observational constraints from the stochastic GW background indicate that the rate of conventional mass BBH mergers (8 < M (M$_{odot}$) < 15) in the redshift range 1<z< 2 could be as high as O($10^7$) events per year, more than sufficient to compensate for the intrinsically low probability of lensing. To reach the LVC trigger threshold these events require high magnification, but would still produce up to 10 to 30 LVC observable events per year. Thus, all the LVC observed ordinary stellar mass BBH mergers from this epoch must be strongly lensed. By adopting low-rates at high redshift, LVC assumes that lensed events can not be taking place, thus incorrectly assigning them a closer distance and higher masses by a factor of a few (typically 2 to 5). The LVC adopted priors on time delay are in tension with the distribution of observed time delays in lensed quasars. Pairs of events like GW190421-GW190910 and GW190424-GW190910, which are directly assigned a probability of zero by LVC, should be instead considered as prime candidates to be strongly lensed GW pairs, since their separation in time is consistent with observations of time delays in lensed quasars. Correcting for the LVC wrong Bayesian priors, maximum merger rate of conventional mass BBH in 1<z<2, and gravitational lensing time-delay model, reverses the LVC conclusions and supports the strong gravitational lensing hypothesis.
We report results from a search for gravitational waves produced by perturbed intermediate mass black holes (IMBH) in data collected by LIGO and Virgo between 2005 and 2010. The search was sensitive to astrophysical sources that produced damped sinusoid gravitational wave signals, also known as ringdowns, with frequency $50le f_{0}/mathrm{Hz} le 2000$ and decay timescale $0.0001lesssim tau/mathrm{s} lesssim 0.1$ characteristic of those produced in mergers of IMBH pairs. No significant gravitational wave candidate was detected. We report upper limits on the astrophysical coalescence rates of IMBHs with total binary mass $50 le M/mathrm{M}_odot le 450$ and component mass ratios of either 1:1 or 4:1. For systems with total mass $100 le M/mathrm{M}_odot le 150$, we report a 90%-confidence upper limit on the rate of binary IMBH mergers with non-spinning and equal mass components of $6.9times10^{-8},$Mpc$^{-3}$yr$^{-1}$. We also report a rate upper limit for ringdown waveforms from perturbed IMBHs, radiating 1% of their mass as gravitational waves in the fundamental, $ell=m=2$, oscillation mode, that is nearly three orders of magnitude more stringent than previous results.
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