We present a Bayesian dynamical inference method for characterizing cardiorespiratory (CR) dynamics in humans by inverse modelling from blood pressure time-series data. This new method is applicable to a broad range of stochastic dynamical models, and can be implemented without severe computational demands. A simple nonlinear dynamical model is found that describes a measured blood pressure time-series in the primary frequency band of the CR dynamics. The accuracy of the method is investigated using surrogate data with parameters close to the parameters inferred in the experiment. The connection of the inferred model to a well-known beat-to-beat model of the baroreflex is discussed.
A new technique is introduced to reconstruct a nonlinear stochastic model of the cardiorespiratory interaction. Its inferential framework uses a set of polynomial basis functions representing the nonlinear force governing the system oscillations. The strength and direction of coupling, and the noise intensity are simultaneously inferred from a univariate blood pressure signal, monitored in a clinical environment. The technique does not require extensive global optimization and it is applicable to a wide range of complex dynamical systems subject to noise.
RooStatsCms is an object oriented statistical framework based on the RooFit technology. Its scope is to allow the modelling, statistical analysis and combination of multiple search channels for new phenomena in High Energy Physics. It provides a variety of methods described in literature implemented as classes, whose design is oriented to the execution of multiple CPU intensive jobs on batch systems or on the Grid.
The RooStatsCms (RSC) software framework allows analysis modelling and combination, statistical studies together with the access to sophisticated graphics routines for results visualisation. The goal of the project is to complement the existing analyses by means of their combination and accurate statistical studies.
We perform statistical analysis of the single-vehicle data measured on the Dutch freeway A9 and discussed in Ref. [2]. Using tools originating from the Random Matrix Theory we show that the significant changes in the statistics of the traffic data can be explained applying equilibrium statistical physics of interacting particles.
A statistical model for the fragmentation of a conserved quantity is analyzed, using the principle of maximum entropy and the theory of partitions. Upper and lower bounds for the restricted partitioning problem are derived and applied to the distribution of fragments. The resulting power law directly leads to Benfords law for the first digits of the parts.