The RooStatsCms (RSC) software framework allows analysis modelling and combination, statistical studies together with the access to sophisticated graphics routines for results visualisation. The goal of the project is to complement the existing analyses by means of their combination and accurate statistical studies.
RooStatsCms is an object oriented statistical framework based on the RooFit technology. Its scope is to allow the modelling, statistical analysis and combination of multiple search channels for new phenomena in High Energy Physics. It provides a variety of methods described in literature implemented as classes, whose design is oriented to the execution of multiple CPU intensive jobs on batch systems or on the Grid.
We present a Bayesian dynamical inference method for characterizing cardiorespiratory (CR) dynamics in humans by inverse modelling from blood pressure time-series data. This new method is applicable to a broad range of stochastic dynamical models, and can be implemented without severe computational demands. A simple nonlinear dynamical model is found that describes a measured blood pressure time-series in the primary frequency band of the CR dynamics. The accuracy of the method is investigated using surrogate data with parameters close to the parameters inferred in the experiment. The connection of the inferred model to a well-known beat-to-beat model of the baroreflex is discussed.
The statistical properties of acoustic emission signals for tool condition monitoring (TCM) applications in mechanical lathe machining are analyzed in this paper. Time series data and root mean square (RMS) values at various tool wear levels are shown to exhibit features that can be put into relation with ageing in both cases. In particular, the histograms of raw data show power-law distributions above a cross-over value, in which newer cutting tools exhibit more numerous larger events compared with more worn-out ones. For practical purposes, statistics based on RMS values are more feasible, and the analysis of these also reveals discriminating age-related features. The assumption that experimental RMS histograms follow a Beta (b) distribution has also been tested. The residuals of the modeling b functions indicate that the search for a more appropriate fitting function for the experimental distribution is desirable.
Amplitude analysis is a powerful technique to study hadron decays. A significant complication in these analyses is the treatment of instrumental effects, such as background and selection efficiency variations, in the multidimensional kinematic phase space. This paper reviews conventional methods to estimate efficiency and background distributions and outlines the methods of density estimation using Gaussian processes and artificial neural networks. Such techniques see widespread use elsewhere, but have not gained popularity in use for amplitude analyses. Finally, novel applications of these models are proposed, to estimate background density in the signal region from the sidebands in multiple dimensions, and a more general method for model-assisted density estimation using artificial neural networks.
A statistical model for the fragmentation of a conserved quantity is analyzed, using the principle of maximum entropy and the theory of partitions. Upper and lower bounds for the restricted partitioning problem are derived and applied to the distribution of fragments. The resulting power law directly leads to Benfords law for the first digits of the parts.