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Register a new userEnd-to-End Demand Response Model Identification and Baseline Estimation with Deep Learning
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This paper proposes a novel end-to-end deep learning framework that simultaneously identifies demand baselines and the incentive-based agent demand response model, from the net demand measurements and incentive signals. This learning framework is modularized as two modules: 1) the decision making process of a demand response participant is represented as a differentiable optimization layer, which takes the incentive signal as input and predicts users response; 2) the baseline demand forecast is represented as a standard neural network model, which takes relevant features and predicts users baseline demand. These two intermediate predictions are integrated, to form the net demand forecast. We then propose a gradient-descent approach that backpropagates the net demand forecast errors to update the weights of the agent model and the weights of baseline demand forecast, jointly. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach through computation experiments with synthetic demand response traces and a large-scale real world demand response dataset. Our results show that the approach accurately identifies the demand response model, even without any prior knowledge about the baseline demand.
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We design a dispatch system to improve the peak service quality of video on demand (VOD). Our system predicts the hot videos during the peak hours of the next day based on the historical requests, and dispatches to the content delivery networks (CDNs) at the previous off-peak time. In order to scale to billions of videos, we build the system with two neural networks, one for video clustering and the other for dispatch policy developing. The clustering network employs autoencoder layers and reduces the video number to a fixed value. The policy network employs fully connected layers and ranks the clustered videos with dispatch probabilities. The two networks are coupled with weight-sharing temporal layers, which analyze the video request sequences with convolutional and recurrent modules. Therefore, the clustering and dispatch tasks are trained in an end-to-end mechanism. The real-world results show that our approach achieves an average prediction accuracy of 17%, compared with 3% from the present baseline method, for the same amount of dispatches.
Decentralized coordination of a robot swarm requires addressing the tension between local perceptions and actions, and the accomplishment of a global objective. In this work, we propose to learn decentralized controllers based on solely raw visual inputs. For the first time, that integrates the learning of two key components: communication and visual perception, in one end-to-end framework. More specifically, we consider that each robot has access to a visual perception of the immediate surroundings, and communication capabilities to transmit and receive messages from other neighboring robots. Our proposed learning framework combines a convolutional neural network (CNN) for each robot to extract messages from the visual inputs, and a graph neural network (GNN) over the entire swarm to transmit, receive and process these messages in order to decide on actions. The use of a GNN and locally-run CNNs results naturally in a decentralized controller. We jointly train the CNNs and the GNN so that each robot learns to extract messages from the images that are adequate for the team as a whole. Our experiments demonstrate the proposed architecture in the problem of drone flocking and show its promising performance and scalability, e.g., achieving successful decentralized flocking for large-sized swarms consisting of up to 75 drones.
Nowadays the emerging smart grid technology opens up the possibility of two-way communication between customers and energy utilities. Demand Response Management (DRM) offers the promise of saving money for commercial customers and households while helps utilities operate more efficiently. In this paper, an Incentive-based Demand Response Optimization (IDRO) model is proposed to efficiently schedule household appliances for minimum usage during peak hours. The proposed method is a multi-objective optimization technique based on Nonlinear Auto-Regressive Neural Network (NAR-NN) which considers energy provided by the utility and rooftop installed photovoltaic (PV) system. The proposed method is tested and verified using 300 case studies (household). Data analysis for a period of one year shows a noticeable improvement in power factor and customers bill.
We present the development of a machine learning based pipeline to fully automate the calibration of the frequency comb used to read out optical/IR Microwave Kinetic Inductance Detector (MKID) arrays. This process involves determining the resonant frequency and optimal drive power of every pixel (i.e. resonator) in the array, which is typically done manually. Modern optical/IR MKID arrays, such as DARKNESS (DARK-speckle Near-infrared Energy-resolving Superconducting Spectrophotometer) and MEC (MKID Exoplanet Camera), contain 10-20,000 pixels, making the calibration process extremely time consuming; each 2000 pixel feedline requires 4-6 hours of manual tuning. Here we present a pipeline which uses a single convolutional neural network (CNN) to perform both resonator identification and tuning simultaneously. We find that our pipeline has performance equal to that of the manual tuning process, and requires just twelve minutes of computational time per feedline.
Most existing Multi-Object Tracking (MOT) approaches follow the Tracking-by-Detection paradigm and the data association framework where objects are firstly detected and then associated. Although deep-learning based method can noticeably improve the object detection performance and also provide good appearance features for cross-frame association, the framework is not completely end-to-end, and therefore the computation is huge while the performance is limited. To address the problem, we present a completely end-to-end approach that takes image-sequence/video as input and outputs directly the located and tracked objects of learned types. Specifically, with our introduced multi-object representation strategy, a global response map can be accurately generated over frames, from which the trajectory of each tracked object can be easily picked up, just like how a detector inputs an image and outputs the bounding boxes of each detected object. The proposed model is fast and accurate. Experimental results based on the MOT16 and MOT17 benchmarks show that our proposed on-line tracker achieved state-of-the-art performance on several tracking metrics.
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