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Dynamic Virtual Graph Significance Networks for Predicting Influenza

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 Added by Hongyan Wu
 Publication date 2021
and research's language is English




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Graph-structured data and their related algorithms have attracted significant attention in many fields, such as influenza prediction in public health. However, the variable influenza seasonality, occasional pandemics, and domain knowledge pose great challenges to construct an appropriate graph, which could impair the strength of the current popular graph-based algorithms to perform data analysis. In this study, we develop a novel method, Dynamic Virtual Graph Significance Networks (DVGSN), which can supervisedly and dynamically learn from similar infection situations in historical timepoints. Representation learning on the dynamic virtual graph can tackle the varied seasonality and pandemics, and therefore improve the performance. The extensive experiments on real-world influenza data demonstrate that DVGSN significantly outperforms the current state-of-the-art methods. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first attempt to supervisedly learn a dynamic virtual graph for time-series prediction tasks. Moreover, the proposed method needs less domain knowledge to build a graph in advance and has rich interpretability, which makes the method more acceptable in the fields of public health, life sciences, and so on.



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Graph representation learning resurges as a trending research subject owing to the widespread use of deep learning for Euclidean data, which inspire various creative designs of neural networks in the non-Euclidean domain, particularly graphs. With the success of these graph neural networks (GNN) in the static setting, we approach further practical scenarios where the graph dynamically evolves. Existing approaches typically resort to node embeddings and use a recurrent neural network (RNN, broadly speaking) to regulate the embeddings and learn the temporal dynamics. These methods require the knowledge of a node in the full time span (including both training and testing) and are less applicable to the frequent change of the node set. In some extreme scenarios, the node sets at different time steps may completely differ. To resolve this challenge, we propose EvolveGCN, which adapts the graph convolutional network (GCN) model along the temporal dimension without resorting to node embeddings. The proposed approach captures the dynamism of the graph sequence through using an RNN to evolve the GCN parameters. Two architectures are considered for the parameter evolution. We evaluate the proposed approach on tasks including link prediction, edge classification, and node classification. The experimental results indicate a generally higher performance of EvolveGCN compared with related approaches. The code is available at url{https://github.com/IBM/EvolveGCN}.
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97 - En-Yu Yu , Yan Fu , Jun-Lin Zhou 2021
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