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Register a new userLinear filtering with fractional noises: large time and small noise asymptotics
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This paper suggests a new approach to error analysis in the filtering problem for continuous time linear system driven by fractional Brownian noises. We establish existence of the large time limit of the filtering error and determine its scaling exponent with respect to the vanishing observation noise intensity. Closed form expressions are obtained in a number of important special cases.
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This work aims to prove the small time large deviation principle (LDP) for a class of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) with locally monotone coefficients in generalized variational framework. The main result could be applied to demonstrate the small time LDP for various quasilinear and semilinear SPDEs such as stochastic porous media equations, stochastic $p$-Laplace equations, stochastic Burgers type equation, stochastic 2D Navier-Stokes equation, stochastic power law fluid equation and stochastic Ladyzhenskaya model. In particular, our small time LDP result seems to be new in the case of general quasilinear SPDEs with multiplicative noise.
Affine point processes are a class of simple point processes with self- and mutually-exciting properties, and they have found useful applications in several areas. In this paper, we obtain large-time asymptotic expansions in large deviations and refined central limit theorem for affine point processes, using the framework of mod-phi convergence. Our results extend the large-time limit theorems in [Zhang et al. 2015. Math. Oper. Res. 40(4), 797-819]. The resulting explicit approximations for large deviation probabilities and tail expectations can be used as an alternative to importance sampling Monte Carlo simulations. Numerical experiments illustrate our results.
Partially motivated by the recent papers of Conus, Joseph and Khoshnevisan [Ann. Probab. 41 (2013) 2225-2260] and Conus et al. [Probab. Theory Related Fields 156 (2013) 483-533], this work is concerned with the precise spatial asymptotic behavior for the parabolic Anderson equation [cases{displaystyle {frac{partial u}{partial t}}(t,x)={frac{1}{2}}Delta u(t,x)+V(t,x)u(t,x),cr u(0,x)=u_0(x),}] where the homogeneous generalized Gaussian noise $V(t,x)$ is, among other forms, white or fractional white in time and space. Associated with the Cole-Hopf solution to the KPZ equation, in particular, the precise asymptotic form [lim_{Rtoinfty}(log R)^{-2/3}logmax_{|x|le R}u(t,x)={frac{3}{4}}root 3of {frac{2t}{3}}qquad a.s.] is obtained for the parabolic Anderson model $partial_tu={frac{1}{2}}partial_{xx}^2u+dot{W}u$ with the $(1+1)$-white noise $dot{W}(t,x)$. In addition, some links between time and space asymptotics for the parabolic Anderson equation are also pursued.
We consider a stochastic differential equation with additive fractional noise with Hurst parameter $H>1/2$, and a non-linear drift depending on an unknown parameter. We show the Local Asymptotic Normality property (LAN) of this parametric model with rate $sqrt{tau}$ as $taurightarrow infty$, when the solution is observed continuously on the time interval $[0,tau]$. The proof uses ergodic properties of the equation and a Girsanov-type transform. We analyse the particular case of the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and show that the Maximum Likelihood Estimator is asymptotically efficient in the sense of the Minimax Theorem.
Eigenproblems frequently arise in theory and applications of stochastic processes, but only a few have explicit solutions. Those which do, are usually solved by reduction to the generalized Sturm--Liouville theory for differential operators. This includes the Brownian motion and a whole class of processes, which derive from it by means of linear transformations. The more general eigenproblem for the {em fractional} Brownian motion (f.B.m.) is not solvable in closed form, but the exact asymptotics of its eigenvalues and eigenfunctions can be obtained, using a method based on analytic properties of the Laplace transform. In this paper we consider two processes closely related to the f.B.m.: the fractional Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process and the integrated fractional Brownian motion. While both derive from the f.B.m. by simple linear transformations, the corresponding eigenproblems turn out to be much more complex and their asymptotic structure exhibits new effects.
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