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Register a new userAffine Point Processes: Refinements to Large-Time Asymptotics
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Affine point processes are a class of simple point processes with self- and mutually-exciting properties, and they have found useful applications in several areas. In this paper, we obtain large-time asymptotic expansions in large deviations and refined central limit theorem for affine point processes, using the framework of mod-phi convergence. Our results extend the large-time limit theorems in [Zhang et al. 2015. Math. Oper. Res. 40(4), 797-819]. The resulting explicit approximations for large deviation probabilities and tail expectations can be used as an alternative to importance sampling Monte Carlo simulations. Numerical experiments illustrate our results.
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We extend recent results on affine Volterra processes to the inhomogeneous case. This includes moment bounds of solutions of Volterra equations driven by a Brownian motion with an inhomogeneous kernel $K(t,s)$ and inhomogeneous drift and diffusion coefficients $b(s,X_s)$ and $sigma(s,X_s)$. In the case of affine $b$ and $sigma sigma^T$ we show how the conditional Fourier-Laplace functional can be represented by a solution of an inhomogeneous Riccati-Volterra integral equation. For a kernel of convolution type $K(t,s)=overline{K}(t-s)$ we establish existence of a solution to the stochastic inhomogeneous Volterra equation. If in addition $b$ and $sigma sigma^T$ are affine, we prove that the conditional Fourier-Laplace functional is exponential-affine in the past path. Finally, we apply these results to an inhomogeneous extension of the rough Heston model used in mathematical finance.
Eigenproblems frequently arise in theory and applications of stochastic processes, but only a few have explicit solutions. Those which do, are usually solved by reduction to the generalized Sturm--Liouville theory for differential operators. This includes the Brownian motion and a whole class of processes, which derive from it by means of linear transformations. The more general eigenproblem for the {em fractional} Brownian motion (f.B.m.) is not solvable in closed form, but the exact asymptotics of its eigenvalues and eigenfunctions can be obtained, using a method based on analytic properties of the Laplace transform. In this paper we consider two processes closely related to the f.B.m.: the fractional Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process and the integrated fractional Brownian motion. While both derive from the f.B.m. by simple linear transformations, the corresponding eigenproblems turn out to be much more complex and their asymptotic structure exhibits new effects.
This paper suggests a new approach to error analysis in the filtering problem for continuous time linear system driven by fractional Brownian noises. We establish existence of the large time limit of the filtering error and determine its scaling exponent with respect to the vanishing observation noise intensity. Closed form expressions are obtained in a number of important special cases.
As well as arising naturally in the study of non-intersecting random paths, random spanning trees, and eigenvalues of random matrices, determinantal point processes (sometimes also called fermionic point processes) are relatively easy to simulate and provide a quite broad class of models that exhibit repulsion between points. The fundamental ingredient used to construct a determinantal point process is a kernel giving the pairwise interactions between points: the joint distribution of any number of points then has a simple expression in terms of determinants of certain matrices defined from this kernel. In this paper we initiate the study of an analogous class of point processes that are defined in terms of a kernel giving the interaction between $2M$ points for some integer $M$. The role of matrices is now played by $2M$-dimensional hypercubic arrays, and the determinant is replaced by a suitable generalization of it to such arrays -- Cayleys first hyperdeterminant. We show that some of the desirable features of determinantal point processes continue to be exhibited by this generalization.
The aim of this short article is to convey the basic idea of the original paper [3], without going into too much detail, about how to derive sharp asymptotics of the gyration radius for random walk, self-avoiding walk and oriented percolation above the model-dependent upper critical dimension.
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