No Arabic abstract
The classical asymptotic theory for parametric $M$-estimators guarantees that, in the limit of infinite sample size, the excess risk has a chi-square type distribution, even in the misspecified case. We demonstrate how self-concordance of the loss allows to characterize the critical sample size sufficient to guarantee a chi-square type in-probability bound for the excess risk. Specifically, we consider two classes of losses: (i) self-concordant losses in the classical sense of Nesterov and Nemirovski, i.e., whose third derivative is uniformly bounded with the $3/2$ power of the second derivative; (ii) pseudo self-concordant losses, for which the power is removed. These classes contain losses corresponding to several generalized linear models, including the logistic loss and pseudo-Huber losses. Our basic result under minimal assumptions bounds the critical sample size by $O(d cdot d_{text{eff}}),$ where $d$ the parameter dimension and $d_{text{eff}}$ the effective dimension that accounts for model misspecification. In contrast to the existing results, we only impose local assumptions that concern the population risk minimizer $theta_*$. Namely, we assume that the calibrated design, i.e., design scaled by the square root of the second derivative of the loss, is subgaussian at $theta_*$. Besides, for type-ii losses we require boundedness of a certain measure of curvature of the population risk at $theta_*$.Our improved result bounds the critical sample size from above as $O(max{d_{text{eff}}, d log d})$ under slightly stronger assumptions. Namely, the local assumptions must hold in the neighborhood of $theta_*$ given by the Dikin ellipsoid of the population risk. Interestingly, we find that, for logistic regression with Gaussian design, there is no actual restriction of conditions: the subgaussian parameter and curvature measure remain near-constant over the Dikin ellipsoid. Finally, we extend some of these results to $ell_1$-penalized estimators in high dimensions.
A large dimensional characterization of robust M-estimators of covariance (or scatter) is provided under the assumption that the dataset comprises independent (essentially Gaussian) legitimate samples as well as arbitrary deterministic samples, referred to as outliers. Building upon recent random matrix advances in the area of robust statistics, we specifically show that the so-called Maronna M-estimator of scatter asymptotically behaves similar to well-known random matrices when the population and sample sizes grow together to infinity. The introduction of outliers leads the robust estimator to behave asymptotically as the weighted sum of the sample outer products, with a constant weight for all legitimate samples and different weights for the outliers. A fine analysis of this structure reveals importantly that the propensity of the M-estimator to attenuate (or enhance) the impact of outliers is mostly dictated by the alignment of the outliers with the inverse population covariance matrix of the legitimate samples. Thus, robust M-estimators can bring substantial benefits over more simplistic estimators such as the per-sample normalized version of the sample covariance matrix, which is not capable of differentiating the outlying samples. The analysis shows that, within the class of Maronnas estimators of scatter, the Huber estimator is most favorable for rejecting outliers. On the contrary, estimators more similar to Tylers scale invariant estimator (often preferred in the literature) run the risk of inadvertently enhancing some outliers.
The statistical analysis of Randomized Numerical Linear Algebra (RandNLA) algorithms within the past few years has mostly focused on their performance as point estimators. However, this is insufficient for conducting statistical inference, e.g., constructing confidence intervals and hypothesis testing, since the distribution of the estimator is lacking. In this article, we develop an asymptotic analysis to derive the distribution of RandNLA sampling estimators for the least-squares problem. In particular, we derive the asymptotic distribution of a general sampling estimator with arbitrary sampling probabilities. The analysis is conducted in two complementary settings, i.e., when the objective of interest is to approximate the full sample estimator or is to infer the underlying ground truth model parameters. For each setting, we show that the sampling estimator is asymptotically normally distributed under mild regularity conditions. Moreover, the sampling estimator is asymptotically unbiased in both settings. Based on our asymptotic analysis, we use two criteria, the Asymptotic Mean Squared Error (AMSE) and the Expected Asymptotic Mean Squared Error (EAMSE), to identify optimal sampling probabilities. Several of these optimal sampling probability distributions are new to the literature, e.g., the root leverage sampling estimator and the predictor length sampling estimator. Our theoretical results clarify the role of leverage in the sampling process, and our empirical results demonstrate improvements over existing methods.
In this work, we study stability of distributed filtering of Markov chains with finite state space, partially observed in conditionally Gaussian noise. We consider a nonlinear filtering scheme over a Distributed Network of Agents (DNA), which relies on the distributed evaluation of the likelihood part of the centralized nonlinear filter and is based on a particular specialization of the Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (ADMM) for fast average consensus. Assuming the same number of consensus steps between any two consecutive noisy measurements for each sensor in the network, we fully characterize a minimal number of such steps, such that the distributed filter remains uniformly stable with a prescribed accuracy level, {varepsilon} in (0,1], within a finite operational horizon, T, and across all sensors. Stability is in the sense of the ell_1-norm between the centralized and distribut
We investigate two important properties of M-estimator, namely, robustness and tractability, in linear regression setting, when the observations are contaminated by some arbitrary outliers. Specifically, robustness means the statistical property that the estimator should always be close to the underlying true parameters {em regardless of the distribution of the outliers}, and tractability indicates the computational property that the estimator can be computed efficiently, even if the objective function of the M-estimator is {em non-convex}. In this article, by learning the landscape of the empirical risk, we show that under mild conditions, many M-estimators enjoy nice robustness and tractability properties simultaneously, when the percentage of outliers is small. We further extend our analysis to the high-dimensional setting, where the number of parameters is greater than the number of samples, $p gg n$, and prove that when the proportion of outliers is small, the penalized M-estimators with {em $L_1$} penalty will enjoy robustness and tractability simultaneously. Our research provides an analytic approach to see the effects of outliers and tuning parameters on the robustness and tractability for some families of M-estimators. Simulation and case study are presented to illustrate the usefulness of our theoretical results for M-estimators under Welschs exponential squared loss.
Robust estimators of large covariance matrices are considered, comprising regularized (linear shrinkage) modifications of Maronnas classical M-estimators. These estimators provide robustness to outliers, while simultaneously being well-defined when the number of samples does not exceed the number of variables. By applying tools from random matrix theory, we characterize the asymptotic performance of such estimators when the numbers of samples and variables grow large together. In particular, our results show that, when outliers are absent, many estimators of the regularized-Maronna type share the same asymptotic performance, and for these estimators we present a data-driven method for choosing the asymptotically optimal regularization parameter with respect to a quadratic loss. Robustness in the presence of outliers is then studied: in the non-regularized case, a large-dimensional robustness metric is proposed, and explicitly computed for two particular types of estimators, exhibiting interesting differences depending on the underlying contamination model. The impact of outliers in regularized estimators is then studied, with interesting differences with respect to the non-regularized case, leading to new practical insights on the choice of particular estimators.