Subscribe to the gold package and get unlimited access to Shamra Academy
Register a new userNonparametric estimation of service time characteristics in infinite-server queues with nonstationary Poisson input
103
0
0.0
(
0
)
Added by
David Koops
Publication date
2018
fields
Mathematical Statistics
and research's language is
English
Ask ChatGPT about the research
No Arabic abstract
This paper provides a mathematical framework for estimation of the service time distribution and the expected service time of an infinite-server queueing system with a nonhomogeneous Poisson arrival process, in the case of partial information, where only the number of busy servers are observed over time. The problem is reduced to a statistical deconvolution problem, which is solved by using Laplace transform techniques and kernels for regularization. Upper bounds on the mean squared error of the proposed estimators are derived. Some concrete simulation experiments are performed to illustrate how the method can be applied and to provide some insight in the practical performance.
rate research
Read More
In this paper we study the number of customers in infinite-server queues with a self-exciting (Hawkes) arrival process. Initially we assume that service requirements are exponentially distributed and that the Hawkes arrival process is of a Markovian nature. We obtain a system of differential equations that characterizes the joint distribution of the arrival intensity and the number of customers. Moreover, we provide a recursive procedure that explicitly identifies (transient and stationary) moments. Subsequently, we allow for non-Markovian Hawkes arrival processes and non-exponential service times. By viewing the Hawkes process as a branching process, we find that the probability generating function of the number of customers in the system can be expressed in terms of the solution of a fixed-point equation. We also include various asymptotic results: we derive the tail of the distribution of the number of customers for the case that the intensity jumps of the Hawkes process are heavy-tailed, and we consider a heavy-traffic regime. We conclude the paper by discussing how our results can be used computationally and by verifying the numerical results via simulations.
In this paper we consider multivariate Hawkes processes with baseline hazard and kernel functions that depend on time. This defines a class of locally stationary processes. We discuss estimation of the time-dependent baseline hazard and kernel functions based on a localized criterion. Theory on stationary Hawkes processes is extended to develop asymptotic theory for the estimator in the locally stationary model.
This paper studies nonparametric estimation of parameters of multivariate Hawkes processes. We consider the Bayesian setting and derive posterior concentration rates. First rates are derived for L1-metrics for stochastic intensities of the Hawkes process. We then deduce rates for the L1-norm of interactions functions of the process. Our results are exemplified by using priors based on piecewise constant functions, with regular or random partitions and priors based on mixtures of Betas distributions. Numerical illustrations are then proposed with in mind applications for inferring functional connec-tivity graphs of neurons.
A Bayesian nonparametric estimator to entropy is proposed. The derivation of the new estimator relies on using the Dirichlet process and adapting the well-known frequentist estimators of Vasicek (1976) and Ebrahimi, Pflughoeft and Soofi (1994). Several theoretical properties, such as consistency, of the proposed estimator are obtained. The quality of the proposed estimator has been investigated through several examples, in which it exhibits excellent performance.
Consider a Poisson point process with unknown support boundary curve $g$, which forms a prototype of an irregular statistical model. We address the problem of estimating non-linear functionals of the form $int Phi(g(x)),dx$. Following a nonparametric maximum-likelihood approach, we construct an estimator which is UMVU over Holder balls and achieves the (local) minimax rate of convergence. These results hold under weak assumptions on $Phi$ which are satisfied for $Phi(u)=|u|^p$, $pge 1$. As an application, we consider the problem of estimating the $L^p$-norm and derive the minimax separation rates in the corresponding nonparametric hypothesis testing problem. Structural differences to results for regular nonparametric models are discussed.
Log in to be able to interact and post comments
comments
Fetching comments
Sign in to be able to follow your search criteria
