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Register a new userWhat Next-Generation 21 cm Power Spectrum Measurements Can Teach Us About the Epoch of Reionization
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A number of experiments are currently working towards a measurement of the 21 cm signal from the Epoch of Reionization. Whether or not these experiments deliver a detection of cosmological emission, their limited sensitivity will prevent them from providing detailed information about the astrophysics of reionization. In this work, we consider what types of measurements will be enabled by a next-generation of larger 21 cm EoR telescopes. To calculate the type of constraints that will be possible with such arrays, we use simple models for the instrument, foreground emission, and the reionization history. We focus primarily on an instrument modeled after the $sim 0.1~rm{km}^2$ collecting area Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array (HERA) concept design, and parameterize the uncertainties with regard to foreground emission by considering different limits to the recently described wedge footprint in k-space. Uncertainties in the reionization history are accounted for using a series of simulations which vary the ionizing efficiency and minimum virial temperature of the galaxies responsible for reionization, as well as the mean free path of ionizing photons through the IGM. Given various combinations of models, we consider the significance of the possible power spectrum detections, the ability to trace the power spectrum evolution versus redshift, the detectability of salient power spectrum features, and the achievable level of quantitative constraints on astrophysical parameters. Ultimately, we find that $0.1~rm{km}^2$ of collecting area is enough to ensure a very high significance ($gtrsim30sigma$) detection of the reionization power spectrum in even the most pessimistic scenarios. This sensitivity should allow for meaningful constraints on the reionization history and astrophysical parameters, especially if foreground subtraction techniques can be improved and successfully implemented.
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A proposed method for dealing with foreground emission in upcoming 21-cm observations from the epoch of reionization is to limit observations to an uncontaminated window in Fourier space. Foreground emission can be avoided in this way, since it is limited to a wedge-shaped region in $k_{parallel}, k_{perp}$ space. However, the power spectrum is anisotropic owing to redshift-space distortions from peculiar velocities. Consequently, the 21-cm power spectrum measured in the foreground avoidance window---which samples only a limited range of angles close to the line-of-sight direction---differs from the full spherically-averaged power spectrum which requires an average over emph{all} angles. In this paper, we calculate the magnitude of this wedge bias for the first time. We find that the bias is strongest at high redshifts, where measurements using foreground avoidance will over-estimate the power spectrum by around 100 per cent, possibly obscuring the distinctive rise and fall signature that is anticipated for the spherically-averaged 21-cm power spectrum. In the later stages of reionization, the bias becomes negative, and smaller in magnitude ($lesssim 20$ per cent). The effect shows only a weak dependence on spatial scale and reionization topology.
Laboratory experiments can shed light on theories of new physics introduced in order to explain cosmological mysteries, including the nature of dark energy and dark matter. In this article I will focus on one particular example of this, the chameleon model. The chameleon is an example of a theory which could modify gravity on cosmological distance scales, but its non-linear behavior means that it can also be tested with suitably designed laboratory experiments. The aim of this overview is to present recent theoretical developments to the experimental community.
Observations of star-forming galaxies in the distant Universe (z > 2) are starting to confirm the importance of massive stars in shaping galaxy emission and evolution. Inevitably, these distant stellar populations are unresolved, and the limited data available must be interpreted in the context of stellar population synthesis models. With the imminent launch of JWST and the prospect of spectral observations of galaxies within a gigayear of the Big Bang, the uncertainties in modelling of massive stars are becoming increasingly important to our interpretation of the high redshift Universe. In turn, these observations of distant stellar populations will provide ever stronger tests against which to gauge the success of, and flaws in, current massive star models.
Measurements of the Epoch of Reionization (EoR) 21-cm signal hold the potential to constrain models of reionization. In this paper we consider a reionization model with three astrophysical parameters namely (1) the minimum halo mass which can host ionizing sources, $M_{rm min}$, (2) the number of ionizing photons escaping into the IGM per baryon within the halo, $N_{rm ion}$ and (3) the mean free path of the ionizing photons within the IGM, $R_{rm mfp}$. We predict the accuracy with which these parameters can be measured from future observations of the 21-cm power spectrum (PS) using the upcoming SKA-Low. Unlike several earlier works, we account for the non-Gaussianity of the inherent EoR 21-cm signal. Considering cosmic variance only and assuming that foregrounds are completely removed, we find that non-Gaussianity increases the volume of the $1 sigma$ error ellipsoid of the parameters by a factor of $133$ relative to the Gaussian predictions, the orientation is also different. The ratio of the volume of error ellipsoids is $1.65$ and $2.67$ for observation times of $1024$ and $10000$ hours respectively, when all the $mathbf{k}$ modes within the foreground wedge are excluded. With foreground wedge excluded and for $1024$ hours, the 1D marginalized errors are $(Delta M_{rm min}/M_{rm min},Delta N_{rm ion}/N_{rm ion},Delta R_{rm mfp}/R_{rm mfp})=(6.54, 2.71, 7.75) times 10^{-2}$ which are respectively $2 %$, $5 %$ and $23 %$ larger than the respective Gaussian predictions. The impact of non-Gaussianity increases for longer observations, and it is particularly important for $R_{rm mfp}$.
The non-Gaussian nature of the epoch of reionization (EoR) 21-cm signal has a significant impact on the error variance of its power spectrum $P({bf textit{k}})$. We have used a large ensemble of semi-numerical simulations and an analytical model to estimate the effect of this non-Gaussianity on the entire error-covariance matrix ${mathcal{C}}_{ij}$. Our analytical model shows that ${mathcal{C}}_{ij}$ has contributions from two sources. One is the usual variance for a Gaussian random field which scales inversely of the number of modes that goes into the estimation of $P({bf textit{k}})$. The other is the trispectrum of the signal. Using the simulated 21-cm signal ensemble, an ensemble of the randomized signal and ensembles of Gaussian random ensembles we have quantified the effect of the trispectrum on the error variance ${mathcal{C}}_{ij}$. We find that its relative contribution is comparable to or larger than that of the Gaussian term for the $k$ range $0.3 leq k leq 1.0 ,{rm Mpc}^{-1}$, and can be even $sim 200$ times larger at $k sim 5, {rm Mpc}^{-1}$. We also establish that the off-diagonal terms of ${mathcal{C}}_{ij}$ have statistically significant non-zero values which arise purely from the trispectrum. This further signifies that the error in different $k$ modes are not independent. We find a strong correlation between the errors at large $k$ values ($ge 0.5 ,{rm Mpc}^{-1}$), and a weak correlation between the smallest and largest $k$ values. There is also a small anti-correlation between the errors in the smallest and intermediate $k$ values. These results are relevant for the $k$ range that will be probed by the current and upcoming EoR 21-cm experiments.
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