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Estimating the Parameters of Binomial and Poisson Distributions via Multistage Sampling

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 Added by Xinjia Chen
 Publication date 2009
  fields
and research's language is English
 Authors Xinjia Chen




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In this paper, we have developed a new class of sampling schemes for estimating parameters of binomial and Poisson distributions. Without any information of the unknown parameters, our sampling schemes rigorously guarantee prescribed levels of precision and confidence.



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Let $b(x)$ be the probability that a sum of independent Bernoulli random variables with parameters $p_1, p_2, p_3, ldots in [0,1)$ equals $x$, where $lambda := p_1 + p_2 + p_3 + cdots$ is finite. We prove two inequalities for the maximal ratio $b(x)/pi_lambda(x)$, where $pi_lambda$ is the weight function of the Poisson distribution with parameter $lambda$.
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In this paper, we have developed new multistage tests which guarantee prescribed level of power and are more efficient than previous tests in terms of average sampling number and the number of sampling operations. Without truncation, the maximum sampling numbers of our testing plans are absolutely bounded. Based on geometrical arguments, we have derived extremely tight bounds for the operating characteristic function. To reduce the computational complexity for the relevant integrals, we propose adaptive scanning algorithms which are not only useful for present hypothesis testing problem but also for other problem areas.
In this work, we study the partial sums of independent and identically distributed random variables with the number of terms following a fractional Poisson (FP) distribution. The FP sum contains the Poisson and geometric summations as particular cases. We show that the weak limit of the FP summation, when properly normalized, is a mixture between the normal and Mittag-Leffler distributions, which we call by Normal-Mittag-Leffler (NML) law. A parameter estimation procedure for the NML distribution is developed and the associated asymptotic distribution is derived. Simulations are performed to check the performance of the proposed estimators under finite samples. An empirical illustration on the daily log-returns of the Brazilian stock exchange index (IBOVESPA) shows that the NML distribution captures better the tails than some of its competitors. Related problems such as a mixed Poisson representation for the FP law and the weak convergence for the Conway-Maxwell-Poisson random sum are also addressed.
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In this paper, we propose a method based on GMM (the generalized method of moments) to estimate the parameters of stable distributions with $0<alpha<2$. We dont assume symmetry for stable distributions.
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We first review existing sequential methods for estimating a binomial proportion. Afterward, we propose a new family of group sequential sampling schemes for estimating a binomial proportion with prescribed margin of error and confidence level. In particular, we establish the uniform controllability of coverage probability and the asymptotic optimality for such a family of sampling schemes. Our theoretical results establish the possibility that the parameters of this family of sampling schemes can be determined so that the prescribed level of confidence is guaranteed with little waste of samples. Analytic bounds for the cumulative distribution functions and expectations of sample numbers are derived. Moreover, we discuss the inherent connection of various sampling schemes. Numerical issues are addressed for improving the accuracy and efficiency of computation. Computational experiments are conducted for comparing sampling schemes. Illustrative examples are given for applications in clinical trials.
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