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تسجيل مستخدم جديدDarkflight estimates of meteorite fall positions: issues and a case study using the Murrili meteorite fall
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Fireball networks are used to recover meteorites, with the context of orbits. Observations from these networks cover the bright flight, where the meteoroid is luminescent, but to recover a fallen meteorite, these observations must often be predicted forward in time to the ground to estimate an impact position. This darkflight modelling is deceptively simple, but there is hidden complexity covering the precise interactions between the meteorite and the (usually active) atmosphere. We describe the method and approach used by the Desert Fireball Network, detailing the issues we have addressed, and the impact that factors such as shape, mass and density have on the predicted fall position. We illustrate this with a case study of Murrili meteorite fall that occurred into Lake Eyre-Kati Thanda in 2015. The fall was very well observed from multiple viewpoints, and the trajectory was steep, with a low altitude endpoint, such that the darkflight was relatively short. Murrili is 1.68 kg with a typical ordinary chondrite density, but with a somewhat flattened shape compared to a sphere, such that there are discrepancies between sphere-based predictions and the actual recovery location. It is notable that even in this relatively idealised darkflight scenario, modelling using spherical shaped projectiles resulted in a significant distance between predicted fall position and recovered meteorite.
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On the 27th of November 2015, at 10:43:45.526 UTC, a fireball was observed across South Australia by ten Desert Fireball Network observatories lasting 6.1 s. A $sim37$ kg meteoroid entered the atmosphere with a speed of 13.68$pm0.09,mbox{km s}^{-1}$
and was observed ablating from a height of 85 km down to 18 km, having slowed to 3.28$pm0.21 ,mbox{km s}^{-1}$. Despite the relatively steep 68.5$^circ$ trajectory, strong atmospheric winds significantly influenced the darkfight phase and the predicted fall line, but the analysis put the fall site in the centre of Kati Thanda - Lake Eyre South. Kati Thanda has metres-deep mud under its salt-encrusted surface. Reconnaissance of the area where the meteorite landed from a low flying aircraft revealed a 60 cm circular feature in the muddy lake, less than 50 m from the predicted fall line. After a short search, which again employed light aircraft, the meteorite was recovered on the 31st December 2015 from a depth of 42 cm. Murrili is the first recovered observed fall by the digital Desert Fireball Network (DFN). In addition to its scientific value, connecting composition to solar system context via orbital data, the recover demonstrates and validates the capabilities of the DFN, with its next generation remote observatories and automated data reduction pipeline.
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