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We introduce an information criterion, PCIC, for predictive evaluation based on quasi-posterior distributions. It is regarded as a natural generalisation of the widely applicable information criterion (WAIC) and can be computed via a single Markov chain Monte Carlo run. PCIC is useful in a variety of predictive settings that are not well dealt with in WAIC, including weighted likelihood inference and quasi-Bayesian prediction
The prior distribution on parameters of a likelihood is the usual starting point for Bayesian uncertainty quantification. In this paper, we present a different perspective. Given a finite data sample $Y_{1:n}$ of size $n$ from an infinite population,
While there have been a lot of recent developments in the context of Bayesian model selection and variable selection for high dimensional linear models, there is not much work in the presence of change point in literature, unlike the frequentist coun
We offer a survey of recent results on covariance estimation for heavy-tailed distributions. By unifying ideas scattered in the literature, we propose user-friendly methods that facilitate practical implementation. Specifically, we introduce element-
The assumption of separability of the covariance operator for a random image or hypersurface can be of substantial use in applications, especially in situations where the accurate estimation of the full covariance structure is unfeasible, either for
We propose a Bayesian methodology for estimating spiked covariance matrices with jointly sparse structure in high dimensions. The spiked covariance matrix is reparametrized in terms of the latent factor model, where the loading matrix is equipped wit