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One year after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, the origin of SARS-CoV-2 still eludes humanity. Early publications firmly stated that the virus was of natural origin, and the possibility that the virus might have escaped from a lab was discarded in most subsequent publications. However, based on a re-analysis of the initial arguments, highlighted by the current knowledge about the virus, we show that the natural origin is not supported by conclusive arguments, and that a lab origin cannot be formally discarded. We call for an opening of peer-reviewed journals to a rational, evidence-based and prejudice-free evaluation of all the reasonable hypotheses about the virus origin. We advocate that this debate should take place in the columns of renowned scientific journals, rather than being left to social media and newspapers.
There is a near consensus view that SARS-CoV-2 has a natural zoonotic origin; however, several characteristics of SARS-CoV-2 taken together are not easily explained by a natural zoonotic origin hypothesis. These include: a low rate of evolution in th
A number of epidemics, including the SARS-CoV-1 epidemic of 2002-2004, have been known to exhibit superspreading, in which a small fraction of infected individuals is responsible for the majority of new infections. The existence of superspreading imp
The genomic ssRNA of coronaviruses is packaged within a helical nucleocapsid. Due to transitional symmetry of a helix, weakly specific cooperative interaction between ssRNA and nucleocapsid proteins leads to the natural selection of specific quasi-pe
SARS-CoV-2 causing COVID-19 disease has moved rapidly around the globe, infecting millions and killing hundreds of thousands. The basic reproduction number, which has been widely used and misused to characterize the transmissibility of the virus, hid
This article contains a series of analyses done for the SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in Rio Grande do Sul (RS) in the south of Brazil. These analyses are focused on the high-incidence cities such as the state capital Porto Alegre and at the state level. We pr