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We report on a general and automatic data-driven background distribution shape estimation method using neural autoregressive flows (NAF), which is one of the deep generative learning methods. Data-driven background estimation is indispensable for many analyses involving complicated final states where reliable predictions are not available. NAF allow us to construct general bijective transformations that operate on multidimensional space, out of finite number of invertible one-dimensional functions. Given its simplicity and universality, it is well suited to the application in the data-driven background estimation, since data-driven estimations can be expressed as transformations. In a data-driven background estimation, the goal is to derive appropriate transformations and apply extrapolated transformations to the region of interest. In the ABCDnn method, we can have the NAF learn the transformations dependence on control variables by having multiple control regions. We demonstrate that the prediction through ABCDnn method is similar to optimal case, while having smaller statistical uncertainty.
We introduce the use of autoregressive normalizing flows for rapid likelihood-free inference of binary black hole system parameters from gravitational-wave data with deep neural networks. A normalizing flow is an invertible mapping on a sample space
We introduce a novel strategy for machine-learning-based fast simulators, which is the first that can be trained in an unsupervised manner using observed data samples to learn a predictive model of detector response and other difficult-to-model trans
We explore the use of autoregressive flows, a type of generative model with tractable likelihood, as a means of efficient generation of physical particle collider events. The usual maximum likelihood loss function is supplemented by an event weight,
Frequency estimation is a fundamental problem in signal processing, with applications in radar imaging, underwater acoustics, seismic imaging, and spectroscopy. The goal is to estimate the frequency of each component in a multisinusoidal signal from
Density estimation plays a crucial role in many data analysis tasks, as it infers a continuous probability density function (PDF) from discrete samples. Thus, it is used in tasks as diverse as analyzing population data, spatial locations in 2D sensor