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Trading of financial instruments has largely moved away from floor trading and onto electronic exchanges. Orders to buy and sell are queued at these exchanges in a {em limit-order book}. While a full analysis of the dynamics of a limit-order book requires an understanding of strategic play among multiple agents, and is thus extremely complex, so-called {em zero-intelligence Poisson models} have been shown to capture many of the statistical features of limit-order book evolution. These models can be addressed by traditional queueing theory techniques, including Laplace transform analysis. In this article, we demonstrate in a simple setting that another queueing theory technique, approximating the Poisson model by a diffusion model identified as the limit of a sequence of scaled Poisson models, can also be implemented. We identify the diffusion limit, find an embedded semi-Markov model in the limit, and determine the statistics of the embedded semi-Markov model. Along the way, we introduce and study a new type of process, a generalization of skew Brownian motion that we call {em two-speed Brownian motion}.
We propose a parametric model for the simulation of limit order books. We assume that limit orders, market orders and cancellations are submitted according to point processes with state-dependent intensities. We propose new functional forms for these
An inhomogeneous first--order integer--valued autoregressive (INAR(1)) process is investigated, where the autoregressive type coefficient slowly converges to one. It is shown that the process converges weakly to a Poisson or a compound Poisson distribution.
The fractional non-homogeneous Poisson process was introduced by a time-change of the non-homogeneous Poisson process with the inverse $alpha$-stable subordinator. We propose a similar definition for the (non-homogeneous) fractional compound Poisson
Machine learning (especially reinforcement learning) methods for trading are increasingly reliant on simulation for agent training and testing. Furthermore, simulation is important for validation of hand-coded trading strategies and for testing hypot
We examine the dynamics of the bid and ask queues of a limit order book and their relationship with the intensity of trade arrivals. In particular, we study the probability of price movements and trade arrivals as a function of the quote imbalance at