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The adopted WSA model embedded in EUHFORIA (EUropean Heliospheric FORecasting Information Asset) is compared to EUV observations. According to the standard paradigm coronal holes are sources of open flux thus we use remote sensing EUV observations and textsc{catch} (Collection of Analysis Tools for Coronal Holes) to extract CH areas and compare them to the open flux areas modelled by EUHFORIA. From the adopted WSA model we employ only the Potential Field Source Surface (PFSS) model for the inner corona and the Schatten Current Sheet (SCS) model for the outer (PFSS+SCS). The height, $R_{rm ss}$, of the outer boundary of the PFSS, known as the source surface, and the height, $R_{rm i}$, of the inner boundary of the SCS are important parameters affecting the modelled CH areas. We investigate the impact the two model parameters can have in the modelled results. We vary $R_{rm ss}$ within the interval [1.4, 3.2]$R_{rm odot}$ with a step of 0.1$R_{rm odot}$, and $R_{rm i}$ within the interval [1.3, 2.8]$R_{rm odot}$ with the same step, and the condition that $R_{rm i}<R_{rm ss}$. This way we have a set of 184 initial parameters to the model and we assess the model results for all these possible height pairs. We conclude that the default heights used so far fail in modelling accurately CH areas and lower heights need to be considered.
In this study, we focus on improving EUHFORIA (European Heliospheric Forecasting Information Asset), a recently developed 3D MHD space weather prediction tool. EUHFORIA consists of two parts, covering two spatial domains; the solar corona and the inn
Ensemble modeling of CMEs provides a probabilistic forecast of CME arrival time which includes an estimation of arrival time uncertainty from the spread and distribution of predictions and forecast confidence in the likelihood of CME arrival. The rea
Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) are large-scale eruptions from the Sun into interplanetary space. Despite being major space weather drivers, our knowledge of the CME properties in the inner heliosphere remains constrained by the scarcity of observation
An analytical and numerical treatment is given of a constrained version of the tectonics model developed by Priest, Heyvaerts, & Title [2002]. We begin with an initial uniform magnetic field ${bf B} = B_0 hat{bf z}$ that is line-tied at the surfaces
Many scientists use coronal hole (CH) detections to infer open magnetic flux. Detection techniques differ in the areas that they assign as open, and may obtain different values for the open magnetic flux. We characterize the uncertainties of these me