ترغب بنشر مسار تعليمي؟ اضغط هنا

Universal Arbitrage Aggregator in Discrete Time Markets under Uncertainty

367   0   0.0 ( 0 )
 نشر من قبل Marco Maggis Doctor
 تاريخ النشر 2014
  مجال البحث مالية
والبحث باللغة English




اسأل ChatGPT حول البحث

In a model independent discrete time financial market, we discuss the richness of the family of martingale measures in relation to different notions of Arbitrage, generated by a class $mathcal{S}$ of significant sets, which we call Arbitrage de la classe $mathcal{S}$. The choice of $mathcal{S}$ reflects into the intrinsic properties of the class of polar sets of martingale measures. In particular: for S=${Omega}$ absence of Model Independent Arbitrage is equivalent to the existence of a martingale measure; for $mathcal{S}$ being the open sets, absence of Open Arbitrage is equivalent to the existence of full support martingale measures. These results are obtained by adopting a technical filtration enlargement and by constructing a universal aggregator of all arbitrage opportunities. We further introduce the notion of market feasibility and provide its characterization via arbitrage conditions. We conclude providing a dual representation of Open Arbitrage in terms of weakly open sets of probability measures, which highlights the robust nature of this concept.



قيم البحث

اقرأ أيضاً

We develop a robust framework for pricing and hedging of derivative securities in discrete-time financial markets. We consider markets with both dynamically and statically traded assets and make minimal measurability assumptions. We obtain an abstrac t (pointwise) Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing and Pricing--Hedging Duality. Our results are general and in particular include so-called model independent results of Acciao et al. (2016), Burzoni et al. (2016) as well as seminal results of Dalang et al. (1990) in a classical probabilistic approach. Our analysis is scenario--based: a model specification is equivalent to a choice of scenarios to be considered. The choice can vary between all scenarios and the set of scenarios charged by a given probability measure. In this way, our framework interpolates between a model with universally acceptable broad assumptions and a model based on a specific probabilistic view of future asset dynamics.
We study the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing for a general financial market under Knightian Uncertainty. We adopt a functional analytic approach which require neither specific assumptions on the class of priors $mathcal{P}$ nor on the structure of the state space. Several aspects of modeling under Knightian Uncertainty are considered and analyzed. We show the need for a suitable adaptation of the notion of No Free Lunch with Vanishing Risk and discuss its relation to the choice of an appropriate filtration. In an abstract setup, we show that absence of arbitrage is equivalent to the existence of emph{approximate} martingale measures sharing the same polar set of $mathcal{P}$. We then specialize the results to a discrete-time framework in order to obtain true martingale measures.
We examine Kreps (2019) conjecture that optimal expected utility in the classic Black--Scholes--Merton (BSM) economy is the limit of optimal expected utility for a sequence of discrete-time economies that approach the BSM economy in a natural sense: The $n$th discrete-time economy is generated by a scaled $n$-step random walk, based on an unscaled random variable $zeta$ with mean zero, variance one, and bounded support. We confirm Kreps conjecture if the consumers utility function $U$ has asymptotic elasticity strictly less than one, and we provide a counterexample to the conjecture for a utility function $U$ with asymptotic elasticity equal to 1, for $zeta$ such that $E[zeta^3] > 0.$
We are interested in the existence of equivalent martingale measures and the detection of arbitrage opportunities in markets where several multi-asset derivatives are traded simultaneously. More specifically, we consider a financial market with multi ple traded assets whose marginal risk-neutral distributions are known, and assume that several derivatives written on these assets are traded simultaneously. In this setting, there is a bijection between the existence of an equivalent martingale measure and the existence of a copula that couples these marginals. Using this bijection and recent results on improved Frechet-Hoeffding bounds in the presence of additional information, we derive sufficient conditions for the absence of arbitrage and formulate an optimization problem for the detection of a possible arbitrage opportunity. This problem can be solved efficiently using numerical optimization routines. The most interesting practical outcome is the following: we can construct a financial market where each multi-asset derivative is traded within its own no-arbitrage interval, and yet when considered together an arbitrage opportunity may arise.
We reconsider the microeconomic foundations of financial economics. Motivated by the importance of Knightian Uncertainty in markets, we present a model that does not carry any probabilistic structure ex ante, yet is based on a common order. We derive the fundamental equivalence of economic viability of asset prices and absence of arbitrage. We also obtain a modified version of the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing using the notion of sublinear pricing measures. Differe
التعليقات
جاري جلب التعليقات جاري جلب التعليقات
سجل دخول لتتمكن من متابعة معايير البحث التي قمت باختيارها
mircosoft-partner

هل ترغب بارسال اشعارات عن اخر التحديثات في شمرا-اكاديميا