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Although parametric empirical Bayes confidence intervals of multiple normal means are fundamental tools for compound decision problems, their performance can be sensitive to the misspecification of the parametric prior distribution (typically normal distribution), especially when some strong signals are included. We suggest a simple modification of the standard confidence intervals such that the proposed interval is robust against misspecification of the prior distribution. Our main idea is using well-known Tweedies formula with robust likelihood based on $gamma$-divergence. An advantage of the new interval is that the interval lengths are always smaller than or equal to those of the parametric empirical Bayes confidence interval so that the new interval is efficient and robust. We prove asymptotic validity that the coverage probability of the proposed confidence intervals attain a nominal level even when the true underlying distribution of signals is contaminated, and the coverage accuracy is less sensitive to the contamination ratio. The numerical performance of the proposed method is demonstrated through simulation experiments and a real data application.
Capture-recapture (CRC) surveys are widely used to estimate the size of a population whose members cannot be enumerated directly. When $k$ capture samples are obtained, counts of unit captures in subsets of samples are represented naturally by a $2^k
Introductory texts on statistics typically only cover the classical two sigma confidence interval for the mean value and do not describe methods to obtain confidence intervals for other estimators. The present technical report fills this gap by first
We propose a new procedure for inference on optimal treatment regimes in the model-free setting, which does not require to specify an outcome regression model. Existing model-free estimators for optimal treatment regimes are usually not suitable for
This study aims to evaluate the performance of power in the likelihood ratio test for changepoint detection by bootstrap sampling, and proposes a hypothesis test based on bootstrapped confidence interval lengths. Assuming i.i.d normally distributed e
We consider a linear regression model with regression parameter beta=(beta_1,...,beta_p) and independent and identically N(0,sigma^2) distributed errors. Suppose that the parameter of interest is theta = a^T beta where a is a specified vector. Define