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تسجيل مستخدم جديدData-driven optimal control of a SEIR model for COVID-19
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We present a data-driven optimal control approach which integrates the reported partial data with the epidemic dynamics for COVID-19. We use a basic Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered (SEIR) model, the model parameters are time-varying and learned from the data. This approach serves to forecast the evolution of the outbreak over a relatively short time period and provide scheduled controls of the epidemic. We provide efficient numerical algorithms based on a generalized Pontryagin Maximum Principle associated with the optimal control theory. Numerical experiments demonstrate the effective performance of the proposed model and its numerical approximations.
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