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This paper presents a comparison of two methods for the forward uncertainty quantification (UQ) of complex industrial problems. Specifically, the performance of Multi-Index Stochastic Collocation (MISC) and adaptive multi-fidelity Stochastic Radial Basis Functions (SRBF) surrogates is assessed for the UQ of a roll-on/roll-off passengers ferry advancing in calm water and subject to two operational uncertainties, namely the ship speed and draught. The estimation of expected value, standard deviation, and probability density function of the (model-scale) resistance is presented and discussed; the required simulations are obtained by the in-house unsteady multi-grid Reynolds Averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) solver $chi$navis. Both MISC and SRBF use as multi-fidelity levels the evaluations on the different grid levels intrinsically employed by the RANS solver for multi-grid acceleration; four grid levels are used here, obtained as isotropic coarsening of the initial finest mesh. The results suggest that MISC could be preferred when only limited data sets are available. For larger data sets both MISC and SRBF represent a valid option, with a slight preference for SRBF, due to its robustness to noise.
This paper presents a comparison of two multi-fidelity methods for the forward uncertainty quantification of a naval engineering problem. Specifically, we consider the problem of quantifying the uncertainty of the hydrodynamic resistance of a roll-on
In this work we introduce the Multi-Index Stochastic Collocation method (MISC) for computing statistics of the solution of a PDE with random data. MISC is a combination technique based on mixed differences of spatial approximations and quadratures ov
In this work, we investigate (energy) stability of global radial basis function (RBF) methods for linear advection problems. Classically, boundary conditions (BC) are enforced strongly in RBF methods. By now it is well-known that this can lead to sta
Localized collocation methods based on radial basis functions (RBFs) for elliptic problems appear to be non-robust in the presence of Neumann boundary conditions. In this paper we overcome this issue by formulating the RBF-generated finite difference
This paper proposes an extension of the Multi-Index Stochastic Collocation (MISC) method for forward uncertainty quantification (UQ) problems in computational domains of shape other than a square or cube, by exploiting isogeometric analysis (IGA) tec