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We investigate predictive density estimation under the $L^2$ Wasserstein loss for location families and location-scale families. We show that plug-in densities form a complete class and that the Bayesian predictive density is given by the plug-in density with the posterior mean of the location and scale parameters. We provide Bayesian predictive densities that dominate the best equivariant one in normal models.
Let $X|musim N_p(mu,v_xI)$ and $Y|musim N_p(mu,v_yI)$ be independent $p$-dimensional multivariate normal vectors with common unknown mean $mu$. Based on observing $X=x$, we consider the problem of estimating the true predictive density $p(y|mu)$ of $
We consider the problem of estimating the predictive density of future observations from a non-parametric regression model. The density estimators are evaluated under Kullback--Leibler divergence and our focus is on establishing the exact asymptotics
We analyze the performance of cross-validation (CV) in the density estimation framework with two purposes: (i) risk estimation and (ii) model selection. The main focus is given to the so-called leave-$p$-out CV procedure (Lpo), where $p$ denotes the
This paper studies the minimax rate of nonparametric conditional density estimation under a weighted absolute value loss function in a multivariate setting. We first demonstrate that conditional density estimation is impossible if one only requires t
Robust estimation is an important problem in statistics which aims at providing a reasonable estimator when the data-generating distribution lies within an appropriately defined ball around an uncontaminated distribution. Although minimax rates of es