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The granting process of all credit institutions rejects applicants who seem risky regarding the repayment of their debt. A credit score is calculated and associated with a cut-off value beneath which an applicant is rejected. Developing a new score implies having a learning dataset in which the response variable good/bad borrower is known, so that rejects are de facto excluded from the learning process. We first introduce the context and some useful notations. Then we formalize if this particular sampling has consequences on the scores relevance. Finally, we elaborate on methods that use not-financed clients characteristics and conclude that none of these methods are satisfactory in practice using data from Credit Agricole Consumer Finance. ----- Un syst`eme doctroi de credit peut refuser des demandes de pr^et jugees trop risquees. Au sein de ce syst`eme, le score de credit fournit une valeur mesurant un risque de defaut, valeur qui est comparee `a un seuil dacceptabilite. Ce score est construit exclusivement sur des donnees de clients finances, contenant en particulier linformation `bon ou mauvais payeur, alors quil est par la suite applique `a lensemble des demandes. Un tel score est-il statistiquement pertinent ? Dans cette note, nous precisons et formalisons cette question et etudions leffet de labsence des non-finances sur les scores elabores. Nous presentons ensuite des methodes pour reintegrer les non-finances et concluons sur leur inefficacite en pratique, `a partir de donnees issues de Credit Agricole Consumer Finance.
In this work we build a stack of machine learning models aimed at composing a state-of-the-art credit rating and default prediction system, obtaining excellent out-of-sample performances. Our approach is an excursion through the most recent ML / AI c
One of the key elements in the banking industry rely on the appropriate selection of customers. In order to manage credit risk, banks dedicate special efforts in order to classify customers according to their risk. The usual decision making process c
The aim of this project is to develop and test advanced analytical methods to improve the prediction accuracy of Credit Risk Models, preserving at the same time the model interpretability. In particular, the project focuses on applying an explainable
Credit scoring is a major application of machine learning for financial institutions to decide whether to approve or reject a credit loan. For sake of reliability, it is necessary for credit scoring models to be both accurate and globally interpretab
Credit scoring models, which are among the most potent risk management tools that banks and financial institutes rely on, have been a popular subject for research in the past few decades. Accordingly, many approaches have been developed to address th