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This paper continues a series in which we predict the main observable characteristics of exoplanets based on their formation. In Paper I we described our global planet formation and evolution model. In Paper II we studied the planetary mass-radius relationship. Here we present an extensive study of the statistics of planetary luminosities during both formation and evolution. Our results can be compared with individual directly imaged (proto)planets as well as statistical results from surveys. We calculated three synthetic planet populations assuming different efficiencies of the accretional heating by gas and planetesimals. We describe the temporal evolution of the planetary mass-luminosity relation. We study the shock and internal luminosity during formation. We predict a statistical version of the post-formation mass versus entropy tuning fork diagram. We find high nominal post-formation luminosities for hot and cold gas accretion. Individual formation histories can still lead to a factor of a few spread in the post-formation luminosity at a given mass. However, if the gas and planetesimal accretional heating is unknown, the post-formation luminosity may exhibit a spread of as much as 2-3 orders of magnitude at a fixed mass covering cold, warm, and hot states. As a key result we predict a flat log-luminosity distribution for giant planets, and a steep increase towards lower luminosities due to the higher occurrence rate of low-mass planets. Future surveys may detect this upturn. During formation an estimate of the planet mass may be possible for cold gas accretion if the gas accretion rate can be estimated. Due to the core-mass effect planets that underwent cold gas accretion can still have high post-formation entropies. Once the number of directly imaged exoplanets with known ages and luminosities increases, the observed distributions may be compared with our predictions.
In this paper, we modify Laskars simplified model of planetary evolution and accretion [J. Laskar, Phys. Rev. Lett, vol 84, p 3240 (2000)] to account for the full conservation of the total angular momentum of the system, and extend it to incorporate
Starting in 2008, NASA has provided the exoplanet community an observational program aimed at obtaining the highest resolution imaging available as part of its mission to validate and characterize exoplanets, as well as their stellar environments, in
Pandora is a SmallSat mission designed to study the atmospheres of exoplanets, and was selected as part of NASAs Astrophysics Pioneers Program. Transmission spectroscopy of transiting exoplanets provides our best opportunity to identify the makeup of
We propose the application of coronagraphic techniques to the spectroscopic direct detection of exoplanets via the Doppler shift of planetary molecular lines. Even for an unresolved close-in planetary system, we show that the combination of a visible
We describe the incorporation of polarized radiative transfer into the atmospheric radiative transfer modelling code VSTAR (Versatile Software for Transfer of Atmospheric Radiation). Using a vector discrete-ordinate radiative transfer code we are abl