ﻻ يوجد ملخص باللغة العربية
Vine copulas are pair-copula constructions enabling multivariate dependence modeling in terms of bivariate building blocks. One of the main tasks of fitting a vine copula is the selection of a suitable tree structure. For this the prevalent method is a heuristic called Di{ss}manns algorithm. It sequentially constructs the vines trees by maximizing dependence at each tree level, where dependence is measured in terms of absolute Kendalls $tau$. However, the algorithm disregards any implications of the tree structure on the simplifying assumption that is usually made for vine copulas to keep inference tractable. We develop two new algorithms that select tree structures focused on producing simplified vine copulas for which the simplifying assumption is violated as little as possible. For this we make use of a recently developed statistical test of the simplifying assumption. In a simulation study we show that our proposed methods outperform the benchmark given by Di{ss}manns algorithm by a great margin. Several real data applications emphasize their practical relevance.
Quantile regression, that is the prediction of conditional quantiles, has steadily gained importance in statistical modeling and financial applications. The authors introduce a new semiparametric quantile regression method based on sequentially fitti
In the multiple testing context, we utilize vine copulae for optimizing the effective number of tests. It is well known that for the calibration of multiple tests (for control of the family-wise error rate) the dependencies between the marginal tests
One can often make inferences about a growing network from its current state alone. For example, it is generally possible to determine how a network changed over time or pick among plausible mechanisms explaining its growth. In practice, however, the
Quantile regression, the prediction of conditional quantiles, finds applications in various fields. Often, some or all of the variables are discrete. The authors propose two new quantile regression approaches to handle such mixed discrete-continuous
Normal copula with a correlation coefficient between $-1$ and $1$ is tail independent and so it severely underestimates extreme probabilities. By letting the correlation coefficient in a normal copula depend on the sample size, Husler and Reiss (1989