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In this article, we study the large $n$ asymptotic expansions of $ntimes n$ Toeplitz determinants whose symbols are indicator functions of unions of arc-intervals of the unit circle. In particular, we use an Hermitian matrix model reformulation of the problem to provide a rigorous derivation of the general form of the large $n$ expansion when the symbol is an indicator function of either a single arc-interval or several arc-intervals with a discrete rotational symmetry. Moreover, we prove that the coefficients in the expansions can be reconstructed, up to some constants, from the Eynard-Orantin topological recursion applied to some explicit spectral curves. In addition, when the symbol is an indicator function of a single arc-interval, we provide the corresponding normalizing constants using a Selberg integral and illustrate the theoretical results with numeric simulations up to order $oleft(frac{1}{n^4}right)$. We also briefly discuss the situation when the number of arc-intervals increases with $n$, as well as more general Toeplitz determinants to which we may apply the present strategy.
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Topological recursion associates to a spectral curve, a sequence of meromorphic differential forms. A tangent space to the moduli space of spectral curves (its space of deformations) is locally described by meromorphic 1-forms, and we use form-cycle