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We give the distribution of $M_n$, the maximum of a sequence of $n$ observations from a moving average of order 1. Solutions are first given in terms of repeated integrals and then for the case where the underlying independent random variables have an absolutely continuous density. When the correlation is positive, $$ P(M_n %max^n_{i=1} X_i leq x) = sum_{j=1}^infty beta_{jx} u_{jx}^{n} approx B_{x} u_{1x}^{n} $$ where %${X_i}$ is a moving average of order 1 with positive correlation, and ${ u_{jx}}$ are the eigenvalues (singular values) of a Fredholm kernel and $ u_{1x}$ is the eigenvalue of maximum magnitude. A similar result is given when the correlation is negative. The result is analogous to large deviations expansions for estimates, since the maximum need not be standardized to have a limit. % there are more terms, and $$P(M_n <x) approx B_{x} (1+ u_{1x})^n.$$ For the continuous case the integral equations for the left and right eigenfunctions are converted to first order linear differential equations. The eigenvalues satisfy an equation of the form $$sum_{i=1}^infty w_i(lambda-theta_i)^{-1}=lambda-theta_0$$ for certain known weights ${w_i}$ and eigenvalues ${theta_i}$ of a given matrix. This can be solved by truncating the sum to an increasing number of terms.
We give the distribution of $M_n$, the maximum of a sequence of $n$ observations from a moving average of order 1. Solutions are first given in terms of repeated integrals and then for the case where the underlying independent random variables are di
We argue against the use of generally weighted moving average (GWMA) control charts. Our primary reasons are the following: 1) There is no recursive formula for the GWMA control chart statistic, so all previous data must be stored and used in the cal
The analysis of record-breaking events is of interest in fields such as climatology, hydrology, economy or sports. In connection with the record occurrence, we propose three distribution-free statistics for the changepoint detection problem. They are
We consider the problem of computing the joint distribution of order statistics of stochastically independent random variables in one- and two-group models. While recursive formulas for evaluating the joint cumulative distribution function of such or
Labeling patients in electronic health records with respect to their statuses of having a disease or condition, i.e. case or control statuses, has increasingly relied on prediction models using high-dimensional variables derived from structured and u