Mixture of Experts (MoE) is a popular framework for modeling heterogeneity in data for regression, classification and clustering. For continuous data which we consider here in the context of regression and cluster analysis, MoE usually use normal exp
erts, that is, expert components following the Gaussian distribution. However, for a set of data containing a group or groups of observations with asymmetric behavior, heavy tails or atypical observations, the use of normal experts may be unsuitable and can unduly affect the fit of the MoE model. In this paper, we introduce new non-normal mixture of experts (NNMoE) which can deal with these issues regarding possibly skewed, heavy-tailed data and with outliers. The proposed models are the skew-normal MoE and the robust $t$ MoE and skew $t$ MoE, respectively named SNMoE, TMoE and STMoE. We develop dedicated expectation-maximization (EM) and expectation conditional maximization (ECM) algorithms to estimate the parameters of the proposed models by monotonically maximizing the observed data log-likelihood. We describe how the presented models can be used in prediction and in model-based clustering of regression data. Numerical experiments carried out on simulated data show the effectiveness and the robustness of the proposed models in terms modeling non-linear regression functions as well as in model-based clustering. Then, to show their usefulness for practical applications, the proposed models are applied to the real-world data of tone perception for musical data analysis, and the one of temperature anomalies for the analysis of climate change data.
The parsimonious Gaussian mixture models, which exploit an eigenvalue decomposition of the group covariance matrices of the Gaussian mixture, have shown their success in particular in cluster analysis. Their estimation is in general performed by maxi
mum likelihood estimation and has also been considered from a parametric Bayesian prospective. We propose new Dirichlet Process Parsimonious mixtures (DPPM) which represent a Bayesian nonparametric formulation of these parsimonious Gaussian mixture models. The proposed DPPM models are Bayesian nonparametric parsimonious mixture models that allow to simultaneously infer the model parameters, the optimal number of mixture components and the optimal parsimonious mixture structure from the data. We develop a Gibbs sampling technique for maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimation of the developed DPMM models and provide a Bayesian model selection framework by using Bayes factors. We apply them to cluster simulated data and real data sets, and compare them to the standard parsimonious mixture models. The obtained results highlight the effectiveness of the proposed nonparametric parsimonious mixture models as a good nonparametric alternative for the parametric parsimonious models.
Regression mixture models are widely studied in statistics, machine learning and data analysis. Fitting regression mixtures is challenging and is usually performed by maximum likelihood by using the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm. However, i
t is well-known that the initialization is crucial for EM. If the initialization is inappropriately performed, the EM algorithm may lead to unsatisfactory results. The EM algorithm also requires the number of clusters to be given a priori; the problem of selecting the number of mixture components requires using model selection criteria to choose one from a set of pre-estimated candidate models. We propose a new fully unsupervised algorithm to learn regression mixture models with unknown number of components. The developed unsupervised learning approach consists in a penalized maximum likelihood estimation carried out by a robust expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm for fitting polynomial, spline and B-spline regressions mixtures. The proposed learning approach is fully unsupervised: 1) it simultaneously infers the model parameters and the optimal number of the regression mixture components from the data as the learning proceeds, rather than in a two-fold scheme as in standard model-based clustering using afterward model selection criteria, and 2) it does not require accurate initialization unlike the standard EM for regression mixtures. The developed approach is applied to curve clustering problems. Numerical experiments on simulated data show that the proposed robust EM algorithm performs well and provides accurate results in terms of robustness with regard initialization and retrieving the optimal partition with the actual number of clusters. An application to real data in the framework of functional data clustering, confirms the benefit of the proposed approach for practical applications.
