Bayesian evaluation of residual production cross sections in proton induced spallation reactions

The Bayesian neural network (BNN) method is used to construct a predictive model for fragment prediction of proton induced spallation reactions with the guidance of a simplified EPAX formula. Compared to the experimental data, it is found that the BNN + sEPAX model can reasonably extrapolate with less information compared with BNN method. The BNN + sEPAX method provides a new approach to predict the energy-dependent residual cross sections produced in proton-induced spallation reactions from tens of MeV/u up to several GeV/u.

A Bayesian-Neural-Network Prediction for Fragment Production in Proton Induced Spallation Reaction

Fragments productions in spallation reactions are key infrastructure data for various applications. Based on the empirical parameterizations {sc spacs}, a Bayesian-neural-network (BNN) approach is established to predict the fragment cross sections in the proton induced spallation reactions. A systematic investigation have been performed for the measured proton induced spallation reactions of systems ranging from the intermediate to the heavy nuclei and the incident energy ranging from 168 MeV/u to 1500 MeV/u. By learning the residuals between the experimental measurements and the {sc spacs} predictions, the BNN predicted results are in good agreement with the measured results. The established method is suggested to benefit the related researches in the nuclear astrophysics, nuclear radioactive beam source, accelerator driven systems, and proton therapy, etc.