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148 - Erhan Bayraktar , Gu Wang 2014
With model uncertainty characterized by a convex, possibly non-dominated set of probability measures, the agent minimizes the cost of hedging a path dependent contingent claim with given expected success ratio, in a discrete-time, semi-static market of stocks and options. Based on duality results which link quantile hedging to a randomized composite hypothesis test, an arbitrage-free discretization of the market is proposed as an approximation. The discretized market has a dominating measure, which guarantees the existence of the optimal hedging strategy and helps numerical calculation of the quantile hedging price. As the discretization becomes finer, the approximate quantile hedging price converges and the hedging strategy is asymptotically optimal in the original market.
We analyze the optimal dividend payment problem in the dual model under constant transaction costs. We show, for a general spectrally positive L{e}vy process, an optimal strategy is given by a $(c_1,c_2)$-policy that brings the surplus process down t o $c_1$ whenever it reaches or exceeds $c_2$ for some $0 leq c_1 < c_2$. The value function is succinctly expressed in terms of the scale function. A series of numerical examples are provided to confirm the analytical results and to demonstrate the convergence to the no-transaction cost case, which was recently solved by Bayraktar et al. (2013).
We revisit the dividend payment problem in the dual model of Avanzi et al. ([2], [1], and [3]). Using the fluctuation theory of spectrally positive L{e}vy processes, we give a short exposition in which we show the optimality of barrier strategies for all such L{e}vy processes. Moreover, we characterize the optimal barrier using the functional inverse of a scale function. We also consider the capital injection problem of [3] and show that its value function has a very similar form to the one in which the horizon is the time of ruin.
In [2] the notion of stickiness for stochastic processes was introduced. It was also shown that stickiness implies absense of arbitrage in a market with proportional transaction costs. In this paper, we investigate the notion of stickiness further. I n particular, we give examples of processes that are not semimartingales but are sticky.
59 - Erhan Bayraktar , Bo Yang 2008
We propose a model which can be jointly calibrated to the corporate bond term structure and equity option volatility surface of the same company. Our purpose is to obtain explicit bond and equity option pricing formulas that can be calibrated to find a risk neutral model that matches a set of observed market prices. This risk neutral model can then be used to price more exotic, illiquid or over-the-counter derivatives. We observe that the model implied credit default swap (CDS) spread matches the market CDS spread and that our model produces a very desirable CDS spread term structure. This is observation is worth noticing since without calibrating any parameter to the CDS spread data, it is matched by the CDS spread that our model generates using the available information from the equity options and corporate bond markets. We also observe that our model matches the equity option implied volatility surface well since we properly account for the default risk premium in the implied volatility surface. We demonstrate the importance of accounting for the default risk and stochastic interest rate in equity option pricing by comparing our results to Fouque, Papanicolaou, Sircar and Solna (2003), which only accounts for stochastic volatility.
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