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Future photometric supernova surveys will produce vastly more candidates than can be followed up spectroscopically, highlighting the need for effective classification methods based on lightcurves alone. Here we introduce boosting and kernel density e stimation techniques which have minimal astrophysical input, and compare their performance on 20,000 simulated Dark Energy Survey lightcurves. We demonstrate that these methods are comparable to the best template fitting methods currently used, and in particular do not require the redshift of the host galaxy or candidate. However both methods require a training sample that is representative of the full population, so typical spectroscopic supernova subsamples will lead to poor performance. To enable the full potential of such blind methods, we recommend that representative training samples should be used and so specific attention should be given to their creation in the design phase of future photometric surveys.
We show that in cases of marginal detections (~ 3sigma), such as that of Baryonic Acoustic Oscillations (BAO) in cosmology, the often-used Gaussian approximation to the full likelihood is very poor, especially beyond ~3sigma. This can radically alter confidence intervals on parameters and implies that one cannot naively extrapolate 1sigma-errorbars to 3sigma, and beyond. We propose a simple fitting formula which corrects for this effect in posterior probabilities arising from marginal detections. Alternatively the full likelihood should be used for parameter estimation rather than the Gaussian approximation of a just mean and an error.
225 - Bruce A. Bassett 2009
Baryon Acoustic Oscillations (BAO) are frozen relics left over from the pre-decoupling universe. They are the standard rulers of choice for 21st century cosmology, providing distance estimates that are, for the first time, firmly rooted in well-under stood, linear physics. This review synthesises current understanding regarding all aspects of BAO cosmology, from the theoretical and statistical to the observational, and includes a map of the future landscape of BAO surveys, both spectroscopic and photometric.
This is the Users Manual for the Fisher Matrix software Fisher4Cast and covers installation, GUI help, command line basics, code flow and data structure, as well as cosmological applications and extensions. Finally we discuss the extensive tests performed on the software.
We propose a thought technique for detecting Gravitational Waves using Einstein-Podolski-Rosen photon Entangled States. GWs decohere the entangled photon pairs, introduce a relative rotation and de-synchronize Alice and Bobs reference frames thus red ucing the measured non-locality of correlated quanta described by Bells inequalities. Gravitational Waves, distorting quantum encryption key statistics away from a pure white noise, act then as shadow eavesdroppers. The deviation from the intrinsic white-noise randomness of a Quantum Key Distribution process can reveal the presence of a gravitational wave by analyzing the emerging color distortions in the key. Photon entangled states provide the key advantage of revealing the polarization rotation introduced by GWs without the need of previously fixed reference frames
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