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Register a new userUsing in-situ solar-wind observations to generate inner-boundary conditions to outer-heliosphere simulations, 1: Dynamic time warping applied to synthetic observations
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The structure and dynamics of the magnetospheres of the outer planets, particularly Saturn and Jupiter, have been explored both through remote and in-situ observations. Interpreting these observations often necessitates simultaneous knowledge of the solar-wind conditions impinging on the magnetosphere. Without an available upstream monitor, solar-wind context is typically provided using models initiated with either the output of magnetogram-constrained coronal models or, more commonly, in-situ observations from 1 AU. While 1-AU observations provide a direct measure of solar wind conditions, they are single-point observations and thus require interpolation to provide inputs to outer-heliosphere solar-wind models. In this study we test the different interpolation methods using synthetic 1-AU observations of time-evolving solar-wind structure. The simplest method is corotation, which assumes solar-wind structure is steady state and rotates with the Sun. This method of reconstruction produces discontinuities in the solar-wind inputs as new observations become available. This can be reduced by corotating both back and forward in time, but this still introduces large errors in the magnitude and timing of solar wind streams. We show how the dynamic time warping (DTW) algorithm can provide around an order-of-magnitude improvement in solar-wind inputs to outer-heliosphere model from in-situ observations near 1 AU. This is intended to build the foundation for further work demonstrating and validating methods to improve inner-boundary conditions to outer-heliosphere solar-wind models, including dealing with solar wind transients and quantifying the improvements at Saturn and Jupiter.
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During the last decades there is a continuing international endeavor in developing realistic space weather prediction tools aiming to forecast the conditions on the Sun and in the interplanetary environment. These efforts have led to the need of developing appropriate metrics in order to assess the performance of those tools. Metrics are necessary for validating models, comparing different models and monitoring adjustments or improvements of a certain model over time. In this work, we introduce the Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) as an alternative way to validate models and, in particular, to quantify differences between observed and synthetic (modeled) time series for space weather purposes. We present the advantages and drawbacks of this method as well as applications on WIND observations and EUHFORIA modeled output at L1. We show that DTW is a useful tool that permits the evaluation of both the fast and slow solar wind. Its distinctive characteristic is that it warps sequences in time, aiming to align them with the minimum cost by using dynamic programming. It can be applied in two different ways for the evaluation of modeled solar wind time series. The first way calculates the so-called sequence similarity factor (SSF), a number that provides a quantification of how good the forecast is, compared to a best and a worst case prediction scenarios. The second way quantifies the time and amplitude differences between the points that are best matched between the two sequences. As a result, it can serve as a hybrid metric between continuous measurements (such as, e.g., the correlation coefficient) and point-by-point comparisons. We conclude that DTW is a promising technique for the assessment of solar wind profiles offering functions that other metrics do not, so that it can give at once the most complete evaluation profile of a model.
We investigate the solar wind energy flux in the inner heliosphere using 12-day observations around each perihelion of Encounter One (E01), Two (E02), Four (E04), and Five (E05) of Parker Solar Probe (PSP), respectively, with a minimum heliocentric distance of 27.8 solar radii ($R_odot{}$). Energy flux was calculated based on electron parameters (density $n_e$, core electron temperature $T_{c}$, and suprathermal electron temperature $T_{h}$) obtained from the simplified analysis of the plasma quasi-thermal noise (QTN) spectrum measured by RFS/FIELDS and the bulk proton parameters (bulk speed $V_p$ and temperature $T_p$) measured by the Faraday Cup onboard PSP, SPC/SWEAP. Combining observations from E01, E02, E04, and E05, the averaged energy flux value normalized to 1 $R_odot{}$ plus the energy necessary to overcome the solar gravitation ($W_{R_odot{}}$) is about 70$pm$14 $W m^{-2}$, which is similar to the average value (79$pm$18 $W m^{-2}$) derived by Le Chat et al from 24-year observations by Helios, Ulysses, and Wind at various distances and heliolatitudes. It is remarkable that the distributions of $W_{R_odot{}}$ are nearly symmetrical and well fitted by Gaussians, much more so than at 1 AU, which may imply that the small heliocentric distance limits the interactions with transient plasma structures.
An accurate assessment of the Suns angular momentum (AM) loss rate is an independent constraint for models that describe the rotation evolution of Sun-like stars. In-situ measurements of the solar wind taken by Parker Solar Probe (PSP), at radial distances of $sim 28-55R_{odot}$, are used to constrain the solar wind AM-loss rate. For the first time with PSP, this includes a measurement of the alpha particle contribution. The mechanical AM flux in the solar wind protons (core and beam), and alpha particles, is determined as well as the transport of AM through stresses in the interplanetary magnetic field. The solar wind AM flux is averaged over three hour increments, so that our findings more accurately represent the bulk flow. During the third and fourth perihelion passes of PSP, the alpha particles contain around a fifth of the mechanical AM flux in the solar wind (the rest is carried by the protons). The proton beam is found to contain $sim 10-50%$ of the proton AM flux. The sign of the alpha particle AM flux is observed to correlate with the proton core. The slow wind has a positive AM flux (removing AM from the Sun as expected), and the fast wind has a negative AM flux. As with previous works, the differential velocity between the alpha particles and the proton core tends to be aligned with the interplanetary magnetic field. In future, by utilising the trends in the alpha-proton differential velocity, it may be possible to estimate the alpha particle contribution when only measurements of the proton core are available. Based on the observations from this work, the alpha particles contribute an additional $10-20%$ to estimates of the solar wind AM-loss rate which consider only the proton and magnetic field contributions. Additionally, the AM flux of the proton beam can be just as significant as the alpha particles, and so should not be neglected in future studies.
The anisotropy of solar wind turbulence is a critical issue in understanding the physics of energy transfer between scales and energy conversion between fields and particles in the heliosphere. Using the measurement of emph{Parker Solar Probe} (emph{PSP}), we present an observation of the anisotropy at kinetic scales in the slow, Alfvenic, solar wind in the inner heliosphere. textbf{The magnetic compressibility behaves as expected for kinetic Alfvenic turbulence below the ion scale.} A steepened transition range is found between the inertial and kinetic ranges in all directions with respect to the local background magnetic field direction. The anisotropy of $k_perp gg k_parallel$ is found evident in both transition and kinetic ranges, with the power anisotropy $P_perp/P_parallel > 10$ in the kinetic range leading over that in the transition range and being stronger than that at 1 au. The spectral index varies from $alpha_{tparallel}=-5.7pm 1.0$ to $alpha_{tperp}=-3.7pm 0.3$ in the transition range and $alpha_{kparallel}=-3.12pm 0.22$ to $alpha_{kperp}=-2.57pm 0.09$ in the kinetic range. The corresponding wavevector anisotropy has the scaling of $k_parallel sim k_perp^{0.71pm 0.17}$ in the transition range, and changes to $k_parallel sim k_perp^{0.38pm 0.09}$ in the kinetic range, consistent with the kinetic Alfvenic turbulence at sub-ion scales.
The scaling of the turbulent spectra provides a key measurement that allows to discriminate between different theoretical predictions of turbulence. In the solar wind, this has driven a large number of studies dedicated to this issue using in-situ data from various orbiting spacecraft. While a semblance of consensus exists regarding the scaling in the MHD and dispersive ranges, the precise scaling in the transition range and the actual physical mechanisms that control it remain open questions. Using the high-resolution data in the inner heliosphere from Parker Solar Probe (PSP) mission, we find that the sub-ion scales (i.e., at the frequency f ~ [2, 9] Hz) follow a power-law spectrum f^a with a spectral index a varying between -3 and -5.7. Our results also show that there is a trend toward and anti-correlation between the spectral slopes and the power amplitudes at the MHD scales, in agreement with previous studies: the higher the power amplitude the steeper the spectrum at sub-ion scales. A similar trend toward an anti-correlation between steep spectra and increasing normalized cross helicity is found, in agreement with previous theoretical predictions about the imbalanced solar wind. We discuss the ubiquitous nature of the ion transition range in solar wind turbulence in the inner heliosphere.
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