Subscribe to the gold package and get unlimited access to Shamra Academy
Register a new userAn extreme wave field in the winter Antarctic marginal ice zone during an explosive polar cyclone
218
0
0.0
(
0
)
Ask ChatGPT about the research
No Arabic abstract
Propagation of energetic surface gravity waves over a $>40$,km transect of the winter Antarctic marginal ice zone comprised of pancake floes and interstitial frazil ice during an explosive polar cyclone are presented, obtained with a shipborne stereo-camera system. The waves are shown to attenuate at an exponential rate over distance, but, despite this, remain large, even at the deepest measurement locations and in 100% ice concentration, where they are up to 8,m in amplitude -- the largest waves measured in comparable conditions. The occurrence of large waves in the marginal ice zone is shown to be consistent with linear theory. Using concomitant measurements of wind speeds, evidence is given that wind-to-wave momentum transfer occurs through a 100% pancake/frazil ice cover, which is not permitted in most contemporary models.
rate research
Read More
High temporal resolution in--situ measurements of pancake ice drift are presented, from a pair of buoys deployed on floes in the Antarctic marginal ice zone during the winter sea ice expansion, over nine days in which the region was impacted by four polar cyclones. Concomitant measurements of wave-in-ice activity from the buoys is used to infer that pancake ice conditions were maintained over at least the first seven days. Analysis of the data shows: (i)~unprecedentedly fast drift speeds in the Southern Ocean; (ii)~high correlation of drift velocities with the surface wind velocities, indicating absence of internal ice stresses $>$100,km in from the edge in 100% remotely sensed ice concentration; and (iii)~presence of a strong inertial signature with a 13,h period. A Langrangian free drift model is developed, including a term for geostrophic currents that reproduces the 13,h period signature in the ice motion. The calibrated model is shown to provide accurate predictions of the ice drift for up to 2,days, and the calibrated parameters provide estimates of wind and ocean drag for pancake floes under storm conditions.
In 2015 the Gamma-Ray Observation of Winter Thunderstorms (GROWTH) collaboration launched a mapping observation campaign for high-energy atmospheric phenomena related to thunderstorms and lightning discharges. This campaign has developed a detection network of gamma rays with up to 10 radiation monitors installed in Kanazawa and Komatsu cities, Ishikawa Prefecture, Japan, where low-charge-center winter thunderstorms frequently occur. During four winter seasons from October 2016 to April 2020, in total 70 gamma-ray glows, minute-lasting bursts of gamma rays originating from thunderclouds, were detected. Their average duration is 58.9 sec. Among the detected events, 77% were observed in nighttime. The gamma-ray glows can be classified into temporally-symmetric, temporally-asymmetric, and lightning-terminated types based on their count-rate histories. An averaged energy spectrum of the gamma-ray glows is well fitted with a power-law function with an exponential cutoff, whose photon index, cutoff energy, and flux are $0.613pm0.009$, $4.68pm0.04$ MeV, and $(1.013pm0.003)times10^{-5}$ erg cm$^{-2}$ s$^{-1}$ (0.2-20.0MeV), respectively. The present paper provides the first catalog of gamma-ray glows and their statistical analysis detected during winter thunderstorms in the Kanazawa and Komatsu areas.
Our collective understanding of azimuthally-asymmetric features within the coherent structure of a tropical cyclone (TC) continues to improve with the availability of more detailed observations and high-resolution model outputs. However, a precise understanding of how these asymmetries impact TC intensity changes is lacking. Prior attempts at investigating the asymmetric impacts follow a mean-eddy partitioning that condenses the effect of all the asymmetries into one term and fails to highlight the differences in the role of asymmetries at different scales. In this study, we present a novel energetics-based approach to analyze the asymmetric impacts at multiple length-scales during periods of TC rapid intensity changes. Using model outputs of TCs under low and high shear, we compute the different energy pathways that enhance/suppress the growth of multi-scale asymmetries in the wavenumber (WN) domain. We then compare and contrast the energetics of the mean flow field (WN 0) with that of the persistent, coherent vortex-scale asymmetric structures (WNs 1,2) and the more local, transient, sub-vortex-scale asymmetries (WNs $geq$ 3). We find in our case-studies that the dominant mechanisms of growth/decay of the asymmetries are the baroclinic conversion from available potential to kinetic energy at individual scales of asymmetries, and the transactions of kinetic energy between the asymmetries of various length-scales; rather than the barotropic mean-eddy transactions as is typically assumed. Our case-study analysis further shows that the growth/decay of asymmetries is largely independent of the mean. Certain aspects of eddy energetics can potentially serve as early-warning indicators of TC rapid intensity changes.
Mechanisms such as ice-shelf hydrofracturing and ice-cliff collapse may rapidly increase discharge from marine-based ice sheets. Here, we link a probabilistic framework for sea-level projections to a small ensemble of Antarctic ice-sheet (AIS) simulations incorporating these physical processes to explore their influence on global-mean sea-level (GMSL) and relative sea-level (RSL). We compare the new projections to past results using expert assessment and structured expert elicitation about AIS changes. Under high greenhouse gas emissions (Representative Concentration Pathway [RCP] 8.5), median projected 21st century GMSL rise increases from 79 to 146 cm. Without protective measures, revised median RSL projections would by 2100 submerge land currently home to 153 million people, an increase of 44 million. The use of a physical model, rather than simple parameterizations assuming constant acceleration of ice loss, increases forcing sensitivity: overlap between the central 90% of simulations for 2100 for RCP 8.5 (93-243 cm) and RCP 2.6 (26-98 cm) is minimal. By 2300, the gap between median GMSL estimates for RCP 8.5 and RCP 2.6 reaches >10 m, with median RSL projections for RCP 8.5 jeopardizing land now occupied by 950 million people (vs. 167 million for RCP 2.6). The minimal correlation between the contribution of AIS to GMSL by 2050 and that in 2100 and beyond implies current sea-level observations cannot exclude future extreme outcomes. The sensitivity of post-2050 projections to deeply uncertain physics highlights the need for robust decision and adaptive management frameworks.
The Gamma-Ray Observation of Winter Thunderclouds (GROWTH) collaboration has been performing observation campaigns of high-energy radiation in coastal areas of Japan Sea. Winter thunderstorms in Japan have unique characteristics such as frequent positive-polarity discharges, large discharge current, and low cloud bases. These features allow us to observe both long-duration gamma-ray bursts and lightning-triggered short-duration bursts at sea level. In 2015, we started a mapping observation project using multiple detectors at several new observation sites. We have developed brand-new portable gamma-ray detectors and deployed in the Kanazawa and Komatsu areas as well as the existing site at Kashiwazaki. During three winter seasons from 2015, we have detected 27 long-duration bursts and 8 short-duration bursts. The improved observation network in Kashiwazaki enables us to discover that the short-duration bursts are attributed to atmospheric photonuclear reactions triggered by a downward terrestrial gamma-ray flash. Collaborating with electric-field and radio-band measurements, we have also revealed a relation between abrupt termination of a long-duration burst and a lightning discharge. We demonstrate that the mapping observation project has been providing us clues to understand high-energy atmospheric phenomena associated with thunderstorm activities.
Log in to be able to interact and post comments
comments
Fetching comments
Sign in to be able to follow your search criteria
