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Register a new userGlobal Energetics of Solar Flares. XII. Energy Scaling Laws
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Markus J. Aschwanden
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In this study we test 30 variants of 5 physical scaling laws that describe different aspects of solar flares. We express scaling laws in terms of the magnetic potential field energy $E_p$, the mean potential field strength $B_p$, the free energy $E_{free}$, the dissipated magnetic flare energy $E_{diss}$, the mean loop length scale $L$, the mean helically twisted flux tube radius $R$, the sunspot radius $r$, the emission measure-weighted flare temperature $T_w$, the electron density $n_e$, and the total emission measure $EM$, measured from a data set of $lapprox 400$ GOES M- and X-class flare events. The 5 categories of physical scaling laws include (i) a scaling law of the potential-field energy, (ii) a scaling law for helical twisting, (iii) a scaling law for Petschek-type magnetic reconnection, (iv) the Rosner-Tucker-Vaiana scaling law, and (v) the Shibata-Yokoyama scaling law. We test the self-consistency of these theoretical scaling laws with observed parameters by requiring two conditions: a cross-corrleation coefficient of CCC$>$0.5 between the observed and theoretically predicted scaling laws, and a linear regression fit with a slope of $alpha approx 1$. With these two criteria we find that 10 out of the 30 tested scaling law variants are consistent with the observed data, which strongly corroborates the existence and validity of the tested flare scaling laws.
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In this study we synthesize the results of four previous studies on the global energetics of solar flares and associated coronal mass ejections (CMEs), which include magnetic, thermal, nonthermal, and CME energies in 399 solar M and X-class flare events observed during the first 3.5 years of the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) mission. Our findings are: (1) The sum of the mean nonthermal energy of flare-accelerated particles ($E_{mathrm{nt}}$), the energy of direct heating ($E_{mathrm{dir}}$), and the energy in coronal mass ejections ($E_{mathrm{CME}}$), which are the primary energy dissipation processes in a flare, is found to have a ratio of $(E_{mathrm{nt}}+E_{mathrm{dir}}+ E_{mathrm{CME}})/E_{mathrm{mag}} = 0.87 pm 0.18$, compared with the dissipated magnetic free energy $E_{mathrm{mag}}$, which confirms energy closure within the measurement uncertainties and corroborates the magnetic origin of flares and CMEs; (2) The energy partition of the dissipated magnetic free energy is: $0.51pm0.17$ in nonthermal energy of $ge 6$ keV electrons, $0.17pm0.17$ in nonthermal $ge 1$ MeV ions, $0.07pm0.14$ in CMEs, and $0.07pm0.17$ in direct heating; (3) The thermal energy is almost always less than the nonthermal energy, which is consistent with the thick-target model; (4) The bolometric luminosity in white-light flares is comparable with the thermal energy in soft X-rays (SXR); (5) Solar Energetic Particle (SEP) events carry a fraction $approx 0.03$ of the CME energy, which is consistent with CME-driven shock acceleration; and (6) The warm-target model predicts a lower limit of the low-energy cutoff at $e_c approx 6$ keV, based on the mean differential emission measure (DEM) peak temperature of $T_e=8.6$ MK during flares. This work represents the first statistical study that establishes energy closure in solar flare/CME events.
In this study we determine scaling relationships of observed solar flares that can be used to predict upper limits of the GOES-class magnitude of solar flares. The flare prediction scheme is based on the scaling of the slowly-varying potential energy $E_p(t)$, which is extrapolated in time over an interval of $Delta t le$ 24 hrs. The observed scaling of the dissipated energy $E_{diss}$ scales with the potential field energy as $E_{diss} propto E_p^{1.32}$. In addition, the observed scaling relationship of the flare volume, $V propto E_{diss}^{1.17}$, the multi-thermal energy, $E_{th} propto V^{0.76}$, the flare emission measure $EM propto E_{th}^{0.79}$, the EM-weighted temperature $T_{w}$, and the GOES flux, $F_8(t) propto E_p(t)^{0.92}$, allows us then to predict an upper limit of the GOES-class flare magnitude in the extrapolated time window. We find a good correlation (CCC$approx 0.7$) between the observed and predicted GOES-class flare magnitudes (in 172 X and M-class events). This is the first algorithm that employs observed scaling laws of physical flare parameters to predict GOES flux upper limits, an important capability that complements previous flare prediction methods based on machine-learning algorithms used in space weather forecasting.
We investigate physical scaling laws for magnetic energy dissipation in solar flares, in the framework of the Sweet-Parker model and the Petschek model. We find that the total dissipated magnetic energy $E_{diss}$ in a flare depends on the mean magnetic field component $B_f$ associated with the free energy $E_f$, the length scale $L$ of the magnetic area, the hydrostatic density scale height $lambda$ of the solar corona, the Alfven Mach number $M_A=v_1/v_A$ (the ratio of the inflow speed $v_1$ to the Alfvenic outflow speed $v_A$), and the flare duration $tau_f$, i.e., $E_{diss} = (1/4pi) B_f^2 L lambda v_A M_A tau_f$, where the Alfven speed depends on the nonpotential field strength $B_{np}$ and the mean electron density $n_e$ in the reconnection outflow. Using MDI/SDO and AIA/SDO observations and 3-D magnetic field solutions obtained with the vertical-current approximation nonlinear force-free field code (VCA-NLFFF) we measure all physical parameters necessary to test scaling laws, which represents a new method to measure Alfven Mach numbers $M_A$, the reconnection rate, and the total free energy dissipated in solar flares.
The scaling laws which relate the peak temperature $T_M$ and volumetric heating rate $E_H$ to the pressure $P$ and length $L$ for static coronal loops were established over 40 years ago; they have proved to be of immense value in a wide range of studies. Here we extend these scaling laws to {it dynamic} loops, where enthalpy flux becomes important to the energy balance, and study impulsive heating/filling characterized by upward enthalpy flows. We show that for collision-dominated thermal conduction, the functional dependencies of the scaling laws are the same as for the static case, when the radiative losses scale as $T^{-1/2}$, but with a different constant of proportionality that depends on the Mach number $M$ of the flow. The dependence on the Mach number is such that the scaling laws for low to moderate Mach number flows are almost indistinguishable from the static case. When thermal conduction is limited by turbulent processes, however, the much weaker dependence of the scattering mean free path (and hence thermal conduction coefficient) on temperature leads to a limiting Mach number for return enthalpy fluxes driven by thermal conduction between the corona and chromosphere.
We have evaluated the energetics of 38 solar eruptive events observed by a variety of spacecraft instruments between February 2002 and December 2006, as accurately as the observations allow. The measured energetic components include: (1) the radiated energy in the GOES 1 - 8 A band; (2) the total energy radiated from the soft X-ray (SXR) emitting plasma; (3) the peak energy in the SXR-emitting plasma; (4) the bolometric radiated energy over the full duration of the event; (5) the energy in flare-accelerated electrons above 20 keV and in flare-accelerated ions above 1 MeV; (6) the kinetic and potential energies of the coronal mass ejection (CME); (7) the energy in solar energetic particles (SEPs) observed in interplanetary space; and (8) the amount of free (nonpotential) magnetic energy estimated to be available in the pertinent active region. Major conclusions include: (1) the energy radiated by the SXR-emitting plasma exceeds, by about half an order of magnitude, the peak energy content of the thermal plasma that produces this radiation; (2) the energy content in flare-accelerated electrons and ions is sufficient to supply the bolometric energy radiated across all wavelengths throughout the event; (3) the energy contents of flare-accelerated electrons and ions are comparable; (4) the energy in SEPs is typically a few percent of the CME kinetic energy (measured in the rest frame of the solar wind); and (5) the available magnetic energy is sufficient to power the CME, the flare-accelerated particles, and the hot thermal plasma.
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