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Register a new userTraveling wave solutions for a class of discrete diffusive SIR epidemic model
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This paper is concerned with the conditions of existence and nonexistence of traveling wave solutions (TWS) for a class of discrete diffusive epidemic models. We find that the existence of TWS is determined by the so-called basic reproduction number and the critical wave speed: When the basic reproduction number R0 greater than 1, there exists a critical wave speed c* > 0, such that for each c >= c * the system admits a nontrivial TWS and for c < c* there exists no nontrivial TWS for the system. In addition, the boundary asymptotic behaviour of TWS is obtained by constructing a suitable Lyapunov functional and employing Lebesgue dominated convergence theorem. Finally, we apply our results to two discrete diffusive epidemic models to verify the existence and nonexistence of TWS.
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We analyse a periodically-forced SIR model to investigate the influence of seasonality on the disease dynamics and we show that the condition on the basic reproduction number $mathcal{R}_0<1$ is not enough to guarantee the elimination of the disease. Using the theory of rank-one attractors, for an open subset in the space of parameters of the model for which $mathcal{R}_0<1$, the flow exhibits persistent strange attractors, producing infinitely many periodic and aperiodic patterns. Although numerical experiments have already suggested that periodically-forced SIR model may exhibit observable chaos, a rigorous proof was not given before. Our results agree well with the empirical belief that intense seasonality induces chaos. This should serve as a warning to all doing numerics (on epidemiological models) who deduce that the disease disappears merely because $mathcal{R}_0<1$.
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