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Modeling Conversation Structure and Temporal Dynamics for Jointly Predicting Rumor Stance and Veracity

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 Added by Penghui Wei
 Publication date 2019
and research's language is English




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Automatically verifying rumorous information has become an important and challenging task in natural language processing and social media analytics. Previous studies reveal that peoples stances towards rumorous messages can provide indicative clues for identifying the veracity of rumors, and thus determining the stances of public reactions is a crucial preceding step for rumor veracity prediction. In this paper, we propose a hierarchical multi-task learning framework for jointly predicting rumor stance and veracity on Twitter, which consists of two components. The bottom component of our framework classifies the stances of tweets in a conversation discussing a rumor via modeling the structural property based on a novel graph convolutional network. The top component predicts the rumor veracity by exploiting the temporal dynamics of stance evolution. Experimental results on two benchmark datasets show that our method outperforms previous methods in both rumor stance classification and veracity prediction.



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The rapid development of social media changes the lifestyle of people and simultaneously provides an ideal place for publishing and disseminating rumors, which severely exacerbates social panic and triggers a crisis of social trust. Early content-based methods focused on finding clues from the text and user profiles for rumor detection. Recent studies combine the stances of users comments with news content to capture the difference between true and false rumors. Although the users stance is effective for rumor detection, the manual labeling process is time-consuming and labor-intensive, which limits the application of utilizing it to facilitate rumor detection. In this paper, we first finetune a pre-trained BERT model on a small labeled dataset and leverage this model to annotate weak stance labels for users comment data to overcome the problem mentioned above. Then, we propose a novel Stance-aware Reinforcement Learning Framework (SRLF) to select high-quality labeled stance data for model training and rumor detection. Both the stance selection and rumor detection tasks are optimized simultaneously to promote both tasks mutually. We conduct experiments on two commonly used real-world datasets. The experimental results demonstrate that our framework outperforms the state-of-the-art models significantly, which confirms the effectiveness of the proposed framework.
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