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Register a new userRegression-based reduced-order models to predict transient thermal output for enhanced geothermal systems
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Added by
Maruti Mudunuru
Publication date
2016
fields
Informatics Engineering
and research's language is
English
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The goal of this paper is to assess the utility of Reduced-Order Models (ROMs) developed from 3D physics-based models for predicting transient thermal power output for an enhanced geothermal reservoir while explicitly accounting for uncertainties in the subsurface system and site-specific details. Numerical simulations are performed based on Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) of model inputs drawn from uniform probability distributions. Key sensitive parameters are identified from these simulations, which are fracture zone permeability, well/skin factor, bottom hole pressure, and injection flow rate. The inputs for ROMs are based on these key sensitive parameters. The ROMs are then used to evaluate the influence of subsurface attributes on thermal power production curves. The resulting ROMs are compared with field-data and the detailed physics-based numerical simulations. We propose three different ROMs with different levels of model parsimony, each describing key and essential features of the power production curves. ROM-1 is able to accurately reproduce the power output of numerical simulations for low values of permeabilities and certain features of the field-scale data, and is relatively parsimonious. ROM-2 is a more complex model than ROM-1 but it accurately describes the field-data. At higher permeabilities, ROM-2 reproduces numerical results better than ROM-1, however, there is a considerable deviation at low fracture zone permeabilities. ROM-3 is developed by taking the best aspects of ROM-1 and ROM-2 and provides a middle ground for model parsimony. It is able to describe various features of numerical simulations and field-data. From the proposed workflow, we demonstrate that the proposed simple ROMs are able to capture various complex features of the power production curves of Fenton Hill HDR system. For typical EGS applications, ROM-2 and ROM-3 outperform ROM-1.
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In this paper, five different approaches for reduced-order modeling of brittle fracture in geomaterials, specifically concrete, are presented and compared. Four of the five methods rely on machine learning (ML) algorithms to approximate important aspects of the brittle fracture problem. In addition to the ML algorithms, each method incorporates different physics-based assumptions in order to reduce the computational complexity while maintaining the physics as much as possible. This work specifically focuses on using the ML approaches to model a 2D concrete sample under low strain rate pure tensile loading conditions with 20 preexisting cracks present. A high-fidelity finite element-discrete element model is used to both produce a training dataset of 150 simulations and an additional 35 simulations for validation. Results from the ML approaches are directly compared against the results from the high-fidelity model. Strengths and weaknesses of each approach are discussed and the most important conclusion is that a combination of physics-informed and data-driven features are necessary for emulating the physics of crack propagation, interaction and coalescence. All of the models presented here have runtimes that are orders of magnitude faster than the original high-fidelity model and pave the path for developing accurate reduced order models that could be used to inform larger length-scale models with important sub-scale physics that often cannot be accounted for due to computational cost.
Subsurface applications including geothermal, geological carbon sequestration, oil and gas, etc., typically involve maximizing either the extraction of energy or the storage of fluids. Characterizing the subsurface is extremely complex due to heterogeneity and anisotropy. Due to this complexity, there are uncertainties in the subsurface parameters, which need to be estimated from multiple diverse as well as fragmented data streams. In this paper, we present a non-intrusive sequential inversion framework, for integrating data from geophysical and flow sources to constraint subsurface Discrete Fracture Networks (DFN). In this approach, we first estimate bounds on the statistics for the DFN fracture orientations using microseismic data. These bounds are estimated through a combination of a focal mechanism (physics-based approach) and clustering analysis (statistical approach) of seismic data. Then, the fracture lengths are constrained based on the flow data. The efficacy of this multi-physics based sequential inversion is demonstrated through a representative synthetic example.
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In the recent application of scientific modeling, machine learning models are largely applied to facilitate computational simulations of fluid systems. Rotation symmetry is a general property for most symmetric fluid systems. However, in general, current machine learning methods have no theoretical way to guarantee rotational symmetry. By observing an important property of contraction and rotation operation on high-order symmetric tensors, we prove that the rotation operation is preserved via tensor contraction. Based on this theoretical justification, in this paper, we introduce Rotation-Equivariant Network (RotEqNet) to guarantee the property of rotation-equivariance for high-order tensors in fluid systems. We implement RotEqNet and evaluate our claims through four case studies on various fluid systems. The property of error reduction and rotation-equivariance is verified in these case studies. Results from the comparative study show that our method outperforms conventional methods, which rely on data augmentation.
This paper reports a reduced-order modeling framework of bladed disks on a rotating shaft to simulate the vibration signature of faults like cracks in different components aiming towards simulated data-driven machine learning. We have employed lumped and one-dimensional analytical models of the subcomponents for better insight into the complex dynamic response. The framework seeks to address some of the challenges encountered in analyzing and optimizing fault detection and identification schemes for health monitoring of rotating turbomachinery, including aero-engines. We model the bladed disks and shafts by combining lumped elements and one-dimensional finite elements, leading to a coupled system. The simulation results are in good agreement with previously published data. We model the cracks in a blade analytically with their effective reduced stiffness approximation. Multiple types of faults are modeled, including cracks in the blades of single and two-stage bladed disks, Fan Blade Off (FBO), and Foreign Object Damage (FOD). We have applied aero-engine operational loading conditions to simulate realistic scenarios of online health monitoring. The proposed reduced-order simulation framework will have applications in probabilistic signal modeling, machine learning toward fault signature identification, and parameter estimation with measured vibration signals.
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