No Arabic abstract
In this paper we prove the existence of Extreme Value Laws for dynamical systems perturbed by instrument-like-error, also called observational noise. An orbit perturbed with observational noise mimics the behavior of an instrumentally recorded time series. Instrument characteristics - defined as precision and accuracy - act both by truncating and randomly displacing the real value of a measured observable. Here we analyze both these effects from a theoretical and numerical point of view. First we show that classical extreme value laws can be found for orbits of dynamical systems perturbed with observational noise. Then we present numerical experiments to support the theoretical findings and give an indication of the order of magnitude of the instrumental perturbations which cause relevant deviations from the extreme value laws observed in deterministic dynamical systems. Finally, we show that the observational noise preserves the structure of the deterministic attractor. This goes against the common assumption that random transformations cause the orbits asymptotically fill the ambient space with a loss of information about any fractal structures present on the attractor.
Typically, in the dynamical theory of extremal events, the function that gauges the intensity of a phenomenon is assumed to be convex and maximal, or singular, at a single, or at most a finite collection of points in phase--space. In this paper we generalize this situation to fractal landscapes, i.e. intensity functions characterized by an uncountable set of singularities, located on a Cantor set. This reveals the dynamical r^ole of classical quantities like the Minkowski dimension and content, whose definition we extend to account for singular continuous invariant measures. We also introduce the concept of extremely rare event, quantified by non--standard Minkowski constants and we study its consequences to extreme value statistics. Limit laws are derived from formal calculations and are verified by numerical experiments.
We study non-stationary stochastic processes arising from sequential dynamical systems built on maps with a neutral fixed points and prove the existence of Extreme Value Laws for such processes. We use an approach developed in cite{FFV16}, where we generalised the theory of extreme values for non-stationary stochastic processes, mostly by weakening the uniform mixing condition that was previously used in this setting. The present work is an extension of our previous results for concatenations of uniformly expanding maps obtained in cite{FFV16}.
For extreme value copulas with a known upper tail dependence coefficient we find pointwise upper and lower bounds, which are used to establish upper and lower bounds of the Spearman and Kendall correlation coefficients. We shown that in all cases the lower bounds are attained on Marshall--Olkin copulas, and the upper ones, on copulas with piecewise linear dependence functions.
For $1 le p < infty$, the Frechet $p$-mean of a probability distribution $mu$ on a metric space $(X,d)$ is the set $F_p(mu) := {arg,min}_{xin X}int_{X}d^p(x,y), dmu(y)$, which is taken to be empty if no minimizer exists. Given a sequence $(Y_i)_{i in mathbb{N}}$ of independent, identically distributed random samples from some probability measure $mu$ on $X$, the Frechet $p$-means of the empirical measures, $F_p(frac{1}{n}sum_{i=1}^{n}delta_{Y_i})$ form a sequence of random closed subsets of $X$. We investigate the senses in which this sequence of random closed sets and related objects converge almost surely as $n to infty$.
The singular value decomposition (SVD) of large-scale matrices is a key tool in data analytics and scientific computing. The rapid growth in the size of matrices further increases the need for developing efficient large-scale SVD algorithms. Randomized SVD based on one-time sketching has been studied, and its potential has been demonstrated for computing a low-rank SVD. Instead of exploring different single random sketching techniques, we propose a Monte Carlo type integrated SVD algorithm based on multiple random sketches. The proposed integration algorithm takes multiple random sketches and then integrates the results obtained from the multiple sketched subspaces. So that the integrated SVD can achieve higher accuracy and lower stochastic variations. The main component of the integration is an optimization problem with a matrix Stiefel manifold constraint. The optimization problem is solved using Kolmogorov-Nagumo-type averages. Our theoretical analyses show that the singular vectors can be induced by population averaging and ensure the consistencies between the computed and true subspaces and singular vectors. Statistical analysis further proves a strong Law of Large Numbers and gives a rate of convergence by the Central Limit Theorem. Preliminary numerical results suggest that the proposed integrated SVD algorithm is promising.