No Arabic abstract
We consider two approaches to study the spread of infectious diseases within a spatially structured population distributed in social clusters. According whether we consider only the population of infected individuals or both populations of infected individuals and healthy ones, two models are given to study an epidemic phenomenon. Our first approach is at a microscopic level, its goal is to determine if an epidemic may occur for those models. The second one is the derivation of hydrodynamics limits. By using the relative entropy method we prove that the empirical measures of infected and healthy individuals converge to a deterministic measure absolutely continuous with respect to the Lebesgue measure, whose density is the solution of a system of reaction-diffusion equations.
We prove a shape theorem for the set of infected individuals in a spatial epidemic model with 3 states (susceptible-infected-recovered) on ${mathbb Z}^d,dge 3$, when there is no extinction of the infection. For this, we derive percolation estimates (using dynamic renormalization techniques) for a locally dependent random graph in correspondence with the epidemic model.
We consider the hydrodynamic scaling behavior of the mass density with respect to a general class of mass conservative interacting particle systems on ${mathbb Z}^n$, where the jump rates are asymmetric and long-range of order $|x|^{-(n+alpha)}$ for a particle displacement of order $|x|$. Two types of evolution equations are identified depending on the strength of the long-range asymmetry. When $0<alpha<1$, we find a new integro-partial differential hydrodynamic equation, in an anomalous space-time scale. On the other hand, when $alphageq 1$, we derive a Burgers hydrodynamic equation, as in the finite-range setting, in Euler scale.
The Northeast Model is a spin system on the two-dimensional integer lattice that evolves according to the following rule: Whenever a sites southerly and westerly nearest neighbors have spin $1$, it may reset its own spin by tossing a $p$-coin; at all other times, its spin remains frozen. It is proved that the northeast model has a phase transition at $p_{c}=1-beta_{c}$, where $beta_{c}$ is the critical parameter for oriented percolation. For $p<p_{c}$, the trivial measure $delta_{0}$ that puts mass one on the configuration with all spins set at $0$ is the unique ergodic, translation invariant, stationary measure. For $pgeq p_{c}$, the product Bernoulli-$p$ measure on configuration space is the unique nontrivial, ergodic, translation invariant, stationary measure for the system, and it is mixing. For $p>2/3$ it is shown that there is exponential decay of correlations.
Randomized load-balancing algorithms play an important role in improving performance in large-scale networks at relatively low computational cost. A common model of such a system is a network of $N$ parallel queues in which incoming jobs with independent and identically distributed service times are routed on arrival using the join-the-shortest-of-$d$-queues routing algorithm. Under fairly general conditions, it was shown by Aghajani and Ramanan that as $Nrightarrowinfty$, the state dynamics converges to the unique solution of a countable system of coupled deterministic measure-valued equations called the hydrodynamic equations. In this article, a characterization of invariant states of these hydrodynamic equations is obtained and, when $d=2$, used to construct a numerical algorithm to compute the queue length distribution and mean virtual waiting time in the invariant state. Additionally, it is also shown that under a suitable tail condition on the service distribution, the queue length distribution of the invariant state exhibits a doubly exponential tail decay, thus demonstrating a vast improvement in performance over the case $d=1$, which corresponds to random routing, when the tail decay could even be polynomial. Furthermore, numerical evidence is provided to support the conjecture that the invariant state is the limit of the steady-state distributions of the $N$-server models. The proof methodology, which entails analysis of a coupled system of measure-valued equations, can potentially be applied to other many-server systems with general service distributions, where measure-valued representations are useful.
We propose a simple criterion, inspired from the irreducible aperiodic Markov chains, to derive the exponential convergence of general positive semi-groups. When not checkable on the whole state space, it can be combined to the use of Lyapunov functions. It differs from the usual generalization of irreducibility and is based on the accessibility of the trajectories of the underlying dynamics. It allows to obtain new existence results of principal eigenelements, and their exponential attractiveness, for a nonlocal selection-mutation population dynamics model defined in a space-time varying environment.